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There is more and more talk in society about the fall of the current government. If this happens, Kiril Petkov and the coalition around him would be the fastest executive to fall under public pressure.
But what will happen if the government falls?
He seems to be the biggest winner from the early elections Boyko Borisov and his GERB party. However, they still cannot accumulate a visible increase in support, but they are not losing. If we trust the recent sociology of Trend, the biggest losers are PP and ITN, and the electorate they are releasing is taken from Vazrazhdane and Yanev’s new party.
First of all, if there were elections today, would the current rulers retain their power? The answer is a resounding no. The quadruple coalition would have less than 100 deputies. In order to retain power, the current collaboration will need to attract a fifth element, such as the Renaissance.
Is there a way for the former GERB rulers to return to power? The right wing of the DB seems to be their most logical partner in power. But both formations are not enough. If the right wing of the PP is added to them, the bill comes out, but such a coalition seems very difficult to implement.
The good news is that a pro-Russian coalition of parties that openly support Putin’s policies and justify his actions in Ukraine would find it difficult to form a government. At this stage, they lack about 10 seats.
A coalition of GERB with a fan of patriotic parties with the support of the MRF is capable of taking power, but then it will also be necessary to allow the participation of extremely pro-Russian projects such as “Vazrazhdane” or Yanev’s formation.
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