[복덕방기자들]“Possibility of’falling’ house prices next year… Now is the time to sell”

[이데일리 강신우 기자] “From the ten-year periodic theory of house prices, next year is likely to be an inflection point. ”

The nationwide real estate market is so excited that it creates a’fire market’ in the stock market, and the house price bubble is raising its head. From June 1 of next year, when the heavy transfer tax begins, it is predicted that house prices will enter a downward stabilization trend. Then, where did the house price come?

E-Daily Ministry of Construction and Real Estate YouTube channel’Reporters Bokdeokbang’ met with Go Jong-wan, director of the Korea Asset Management Research Institute, and asked about the trends in the real estate market.

Director Ko analyzed that next year’s house price will reach its peak, listening to the so-called’decade of real estate period’. He said, “Since our country started housing statistics in 1986, there have been three fluctuations. Two rises, two declines and now we are facing a third wave that started in 2014.”

Director Ko said, “Because the transfer tax will take effect from June 1 of next year, it is likely that the first half will be a fixed point, an inflection point, and a watershed.” Of course, it is difficult to rule out the possibility of a plunge or collapse.”

He argued that the current housing market is showing abnormal overheating patterns due to complex factors.

“This year, the real estate market has been hotter than ever,” said Goh. “The trading market and the jeonse market haven’t risen together, and it is rare for both the metropolitan area and provinces to soar at the same time, but this year both markets are showing a surge.” .

Director Ko said, “The rise in real estate sentiment has widespread due to the side effects of regulations, shortage of supply resulting from blocking maintenance projects such as reconstruction, low interest rates, and excessive liquidity.” He added, “It is a very scary story that the rising anticipation has spread widely,” he said.

Director Ko analyzed that this phenomenon will continue until at least the first half of next year. Director Ko said, “All real estate research institutes such as the Bank of Korea, Korea Institute of Construction Industry, and Real Estate 114 believe that the house price and the total rent will rise at the same time next year.” “The house price will rise next year, but (clearly) the house price is heading towards the peak. Bubbles are also building up.”

If so, what strategic options should multi-homed and homeless people make next year? Director Ko advises multi-homed people to’slim’ through sale and that homeless people wait a little more patiently.

Director Ko said, “If you have paid counseling these days, the proportion of whether you have to sell or buy a house is half the proportion,” he said. “Both sides have anxiety, and attention is needed at such times.”

He said, “Because the tax burden will increase for multi-homed people, slimming strategies to reduce their size are advantageous, and for homeless people, it is worth looking at the 3rd new town that will enter the pre-subscription starting in July next year,” he said.

Lastly, Director Ko also gave an investment secret. He also explained how to easily see the value of individual apartment assets along with five neighborhoods in Seoul with high intrinsic value for e-Daily subscribers and viewers of Bokdeokbang reporters.

For more information, you can watch the video on the YouTube channel’Bokdeokbang Reporters’.

※ This article can be viewed as a video on the YouTube channel’Bokdeokbang Reporters’.

Planning = Reporter Kang Shin-woo

Filming and editing = PD Junwoo Lee, Intern PD Jeong Ah-im

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