Rome, 26 November 2020 – Orange zone, red and yellow: still a few hours to know which ones regions will change color. On Friday, the Higher Institute of Health publishes the results of the usual weekly monitoring of the epidemic from Coronavirus in Italia and a little later the ordinances of the Ministry of Health that will redefine the risk areas. As usual, the crossing of the 21 indicators will be decisive (ranging from the number of hospitalizations in intensive care to the Rt index, which serves to understand the speed with which the disease is spreading) to understand which areas can be promoted and which, instead, they risk a crackdown. Meanwhile, an almost certainty comes from Lombardy that will not become orange zone tomorrow. Except for twists and turns, the promotion slips to December 3. The statements made in the evening by Governor Fontana are eloquent. “I had a frank and direct confrontation with Minister Speranza – he said -. We both share that, according to the model of ‘zones’ prepared by the Government, Lombardy has all the requisites to pass from qthe red one to the orange one “. But the governor and the minister will talk “very soon to verify what really can be there.” right date to ease the restrictive measures in our region. “Moral: the change of band in close turn seems excluded.
New Dpcm: towards curfew even at Christmas
Conte
To feed the hopes for a change for the better, he thought about it Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte: “Tomorrow is an important day: I expect a Rt that has reached 1 am, it would be an important signal of the reduction of the infection. And I expect – the prime minister told Tg5 – that many regions that are now red turn orange or yellow. “A statement that bodes well for all those regions, such as Lombardy, Piedmont, Emilia-Romagna and Marche that have seen their situation significantly improve. It is plausible that some dates will be decided tomorrow for the color change.
Zone Italy Covid
According to the ordinances of the Ministry of Health, Italy is divided into three zones:
Yellow (moderate risk): Lazio, Molise, Autonomous Province of Trento, Sardinia, Veneto.
Orange (incurred risk): Basilicata, Emilia-Romagna, Friuli-Venezia Giulia, Liguria, Marche, Puglia, Sicily, Umbria.
Red (high risk): Abruzzo, Calabria, Campania, Lombardy, Piedmont, the Autonomous Province of Bolzano (which however revoked some of the most rigid measures, which had imposed a sort of local lockdown), Tuscany, Valle d’Aosta.
Lombardy orange zone: that’s when
The data is encouraging and it seems to be only a matter of time. Yes, but how much? The feeling is that we will have to wait until December 3. The infectiousness index, the famous Rt, in Milan and Lodi dropped below 1. This means that the epidemic in those areas is slowing down. The curve relating to the number of positive swabs out of the total number of tests performed is also decreasing. The councilor for welfare Giulio Gallera said that Lombardy’s numbers are “almost yellow zone”. But the promotion shouldn’t come tomorrow.
Piedmont is aiming for 3 December
Governor Alberto Cirio was clear: “The data has been improving for two weeks and we will be orange between 1 and 3 December”. In the latest report, the Rt index was 1.1. There is very little to soften some of the measures taken to contain the epidemic.
Red zone: Sicily and Basilicata at risk
The two regions risk slipping into the high-risk zone tomorrow. Basilicata has the highest Rt index in Italy (1.46). Sicily, on the other hand, could pay dearly for the chaos linked to data, presumably rigged, with which it would have avoided the first restrictions. Puglia, where some provinces have been heavily affected by the virus, is also in danger of being downgraded.
Emilia-Romagna dreams of the yellow zone
If the Dpcm expected for December 3 will not change the rules at national level, imposing a sort of yellow-orange maxi zone on all of Italy so as not to depress consumption in view of Christmas, the region led by Stefano Bonaccini could return to the yellow zone from next week. Even the Marche, according to experts, could be promoted.
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