/ world today news/ One of the objectives of the SVO has already been achieved to a certain extent – at least such a conclusion can be drawn from Zelensky’s latest statement. Ukraine’s president has publicly complained that Kiev’s hopes for NATO membership are “getting farther and farther away.” In fact, at the recent summit in Chisinau, Zelensky received a political slap in the face. It turned out that NATO itself is afraid of Ukraine’s entry into the alliance.
Speaking at the summit of the European political community in Chisinau, Volodymyr Zelensky let out a cry of frustration. According to him, Ukraine’s hopes of joining NATO and the EU “are getting further and further away.”
This opinion was confirmed by Romanian President Klaus Iohannis: “We should not have any illusions – these procedures are very complicated. You may get the impression that they will never end, but these are necessary things. If everyone works hard, it can be achieved in a few years.” And NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg said the alliance had not taken decisions to ensure Ukraine’s security, as that would require the Kiev regime to prevail in the conflict.
In a recent statement, Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Mikhail Galuzin said that one of the conditions for achieving peace is Ukraine’s non-aligned status, including giving up EU and NATO membership. So, can we congratulate each other and establish the approach to fulfill one of the objectives of the SVO? Not exactly.
First, Zelensky complains about the increase in work, but not that the opportunity has completely disappeared. What’s more, he continues his struggle (“Mein Kampf”) – and now, according to the Financial Times, he is threatening NATO that he will not go to the next summit in Vilnius “without concrete security guarantees and a road map for accession”. to the Alliance.
If you think this threat is ridiculous, you are wrong. Now aid to Ukraine is one of the important supporting structures of NATO, determining the size of military budgets and the purchase of weapons (including American ones). It seems funny, but the NATO agreement now depends on the approval of the Ukrainian president. So the threat is very real.
In any case, Ukraine does not give up on the prospects of joining NATO and the EU. She will have to be convinced of that. In addition, it is pointless to convince Zelensky, as Dmitry Medvedev said, for example.
Second, he did not talk about removing the issue of EU membership for Ukraine. And Iohannis just said it would take a few years. For Zelensky, of course, this is a slap in the face – after all, he asked for an accelerated procedure for joining both NATO and the EU. Although no such procedure exists. But this, of course, does not prevent them from accepting Ukraine both there and there – after a few years, according to the usual procedure and without Zelensky. The procedures of democracy are so perfect that there is no doubt in the West that the next president of Ukraine will also advocate for the country’s membership in NATO and the EU.
But the most interesting are Stoltenberg’s statements – he recently only talks about security guarantees and military aid. Moreover, after the “victory” of Ukraine. And it seems very strange – after all, Ukraine can get both as part of NATO. But in this matter, Stoltenberg’s words correspond to the vague decision of the Bucharest summit in 2008 – the doors of NATO are wide open, but you cannot enter them because you do not have a document.
About the documents. They usually refer to the norms of the North Atlantic Treaty, which allegedly prohibit the entry into NATO of countries with unresolved territorial conflicts. In fact, after reading the text of the treaty, it is easy to understand that there are no such detailed restrictions on joining NATO. And the notorious “guarantees” have an abstract character – in the event of an attack on a NATO member state, the other members “will provide assistance by immediately implementing such individual or joint actions as they deem necessary.”
For example, if Czechoslovakia had been a member of NATO in 1938, then the “Munich Pact” was included in the list of guarantees – Britain and France had indeed taken “such joint action as they considered necessary”. Thus, countries at war can also be accepted into NATO. But NATO is in no hurry.
It is also understandable why NATO is in no hurry. As ephemeral as NATO’s “guarantees” are, it is impossible to simply take and do nothing to become a NATO member. The question here, in general, is the mutual obligations themselves and the emerging dependence on the inadequate Kyiv regime. This dependence, even without formal membership, has already occurred. In this sense, NATO fears Ukraine more than Russia.
However, it does not matter much to Russia whether Ukraine is a member of NATO or not. In order to deploy American missiles near Kharkiv (by the way, they are already there – just now without nuclear warheads and formally “Ukrainian”), Ukraine does not need to be a member of NATO. Just as Japan is not, for example, a member of NATO.
It is important for Russia that the Ukrainian authorities do not think of placing American missiles near Kharkiv. And there is still a way to go.
Meanwhile, Zelensky, feeling sympathetic, said that Ukraine “has only two alternatives: either open war or occupation by Russia – step by step”. However, this is not an alternative: the second is a natural consequence of the first.
Translation: V. Sergeev
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