Generational Divide: Young Canadians More Open to Annexation by the U.S.
A recent Ipsos survey reveals a striking generational divide in Canadian attitudes toward the possibility of becoming the 51st American state.While the majority of Canadians remain firmly opposed to annexation, younger generations are significantly more open to the idea—provided certain conditions are met.
The survey, conducted from January 9 to 13, 2025, found that 43% of Canadians aged 18 to 34 would vote in favor of joining the United States if it guaranteed American citizenship and a conversion to the U.S. dollar. This contrasts sharply with older demographics: only 33% of those aged 35 to 55 and a mere 17% of those over 55 shared this sentiment.
On average,nearly 30% of Canadians expressed some level of interest in the idea. However, when the conditions of citizenship and currency are removed, opposition skyrockets. A large majority of Canadians—77% of the youngest and 87% of the oldest—reject annexation outright.
Donald Trump’s Influence on Canadian Sentiment
Since his victory in the November 2024 U.S. elections, Donald Trump has repeatedly mocked Canada, referring to it as the “51st American state” and Prime Minister Justin Trudeau as a “governor.” At a recent press conference, Trump declared he would use “economic force” to bend canada to his will.
Young Canadians appear to take these threats more seriously than their elders.65% of those aged 18 to 34 believe Trump’s rhetoric puts Canada’s independence in “seriously in danger,” compared to 47% of those aged 35 to 55 and 35% of those over 55.
Fatalism Among the youth
The survey also highlights a sense of fatalism among younger Canadians. Nearly 31% of those aged 18 to 34 believe it is “only a matter of time” before the U.S. and Canada merge into one country. This belief diminishes with age, with only 21% of those aged 35 to 55 and 11% of those over 55 considering the scenario plausible.
Additionally, 35% of young Canadians predict the separation of Quebec and/or Alberta within the next decade, compared to 27% of older age groups.
A Generational Divide in Outlook
The data underscores a clear generational divide in how Canadians view their nation’s future. While older Canadians remain steadfast in their commitment to independence,younger generations are more open to change—whether through annexation or regional separation.
| Age Group | Support Annexation (with conditions) | Believe Independence is in Danger | Predict U.S.-Canada Merger |
|—————|——————————————|—————————————|——————————–|
| 18-34 | 43% | 65% | 31% |
| 35-55 | 33% | 47% | 21% |
| 55+ | 17% | 35% | 11% |
As canada navigates this complex political landscape, the generational gap in attitudes toward annexation and independence will undoubtedly shape the nation’s future.
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