Wolfsburg vs. Werder Bremen tip, forecast [+KI]odds 10/20.

Only FC Bayern Munich scored more points away from home in the 2024/25 season (ten) than SV Werder Bremen (seven), which, unlike the Reds, has only played three guest games. It is correspondingly interesting that Wolfsburg’s tip against Werder Bremen is that the Weserelf can record another away win against Wolves who are not in particularly good shape. VfL ultimately stayed Still without a win in three Bundesliga home games of the current season (one draw, two defeats).

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But the task will not be easy for Werder. After all, Lower Saxony is one of the five teams in the Bundesliga that has scored in every league game of the 2024/25 season so far. Bremen, on the other hand, have already failed to score three times. In order for the prediction of an away win for the North Germans at Wolfsburg against Werder Bremen to be successful, the exploitation of opportunities must first and foremost be right.

Wolfsburg – Werder Bremen odds | 3 top tips

Betting odds as of October 18, 2024, 9:01 a.m

Freebets & sports betting specials for Wolfsburg vs. Werder Bremen

The Bremen team can take an example from the Wolves’ ability to exploit their chances, as they were able to take advantage of 26 percent of all chances. This corresponds to the league-wide best value. Against this background, it is quite conceivable that Any outsider victory by the guests from the Weser will at least not be a clean sheet victory will be.

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Wolfsburg vs. Werder Bremen prediction AI

We often agree with the AI ​​on the bet with the greatest possible value. However, this is absolutely not the case in this Sunday evening game, because for Wolfsburg against Werder Bremen, the AI ​​forecast is the exact opposite of our tip. While we place a positive expected value in the outsider tip, the supercomputer BETSiE comes to the conclusion that the bet on the Wolves’ home win is associated with the maximum value.

Bookmaker Intertops offers odds of 2.13 for tip 1 and thus implies a probability of Wolfsburg’s home threesome of 46.95 percent. BETSiE, in turn, calculates a probability of 52.13 percent for VfL to win at home, which is a good five percent higher. We can therefore be excited to see who will be right in the end.

AI prediction Wolfsburg vs. Werder Bremen:

Wolfsburg at 2.13

Betting odds as of October 18, 2024, 9:01 a.m

Wolfsburg – Statistics & current form

VfL Wolfsburg actually wanted to attack the higher reaches of the table again for the 2024/25 season after the relegation battle in the previous season. However, with seven out of 18 possible points, the Lower Saxony team didn’t get off to the best start.

At least a complete false start was averted by collecting four out of six possible points from the last two games before the international break from the duels with Stuttgart (2:2) and Bochum (3:1).

The whole truth also means that the 2-2 draw against the reigning runner-up in front of a home crowd was particularly flattering, as after a foul on Arnold, Karazor was wrongly given a yellow-red card against the Swabians’ player, whereupon the Wolves in Outnumbered people gained an advantage.

Video: Moderator Carsten Fuß and jack-of-all-trades Marcel Niesner receive prominent support in their analysis and prediction for the 7th matchday from ex-professional and Sky expert Didi Hamann. (Source: YouTube / Betting Base)

Wolfsburg with a long dry spell in their own stadium

However, Ralph Hasenhüttl’s kickers lost the other two home games of the 2024/25 season. There were seasons across the board We haven’t had a home three-pointer in four Bundesliga games in the Volkswagen Arena (one draw, three defeats).

Even now, at least in our opinion, the tip for a home win for Lower Saxony in Wolfsburg against Werder Bremen is not a good one, although at least two aspects speak in favor of the wolves. Firstly: No other Bundesliga team has exploited its chances as effectively in 2024/25 as VfL (26 percent). And secondly: Wolfsburg is one of only five Bundesliga teams that has always scored at least one own goal in the first six matchdays. In five of the six games, the Green-Whites also managed to score two goals.

Expected line-up for Wolfsburg:

Injured and suspended Wolfsburg players:

Last games of Wolfsburg:

Werder Bremen – Statistics & current form

SV Werder Bremen ended up in ninth place in the final table this summer due to the increased number of mistakes made by teams like VfL Wolfsburg. Ole Werner’s kickers narrowly missed out on getting into the UEFA Conference League. Of course, the season was still rated as highly successful.

In the new season, the Green-Whites were able to build on this with a strong start and five out of nine possible points from the first three league games. But then there were two home defeats in a row against Bayern (0:5) and Freiburg (0:1). Overall, the Weser men did not score in three of the six Bundesliga games in 2024/25.

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Werder Bremen played particularly well away from home

It is also curious that the SVW All of his eight goals so far have been scored on foreign pitches. The last time this happened in the history of the Bundesliga was in 1985/86 at VfB Stuttgart. If you add the DFB Cup, Bremen have not lost any of their four competitive games in the young season (three wins, one draw).

In the league, only FC Bayern have scored more points away from home (ten) than Werder (seven), which means they can definitely count on something in the Volkswagen Arena. In the case of Wolfsburg against Werder Bremen, the odds of the betting providers with a German license speak against the Weserelf, which has already conceded twelve goals, but at least has not yet been overcome after the balls are at rest. This could now be an advantage, as Wolfsburg have already scored seven goals from standard situations, meaning that one of Lower Saxony’s great strengths is now somewhat ineffective.

Expected line-up for Werder Bremen:

Injured and suspended Werder Bremen players:

Last games of Werder Bremen:

Our Wolfsburg – Werder Bremen tip in the odds comparison October 20, 2024 – 1/X/2

Betting odds as of October 19, 2024, 5:38 p.m

Wolfsburg – Werder Bremen direct comparison / H2H balance

Head to head: 24 – 12 – 32

A total of 68 meetings have taken place between the two teams so far and with 32 wins, SV Werder Bremen clearly leads the direct comparison. However, the Weserelf only got one of six possible points against the Wolves last season and only recorded one win in the last seven duels (two draws, four defeats).

Statistics highlights for Wolfsburg against Werder Bremen

Betting base forecast & Wolfsburg – Werder Bremen tip

The best bookmakers are tipping the betting odds towards the home side for Wolfsburg against Werder Bremen, which we think is a very bold assessment. After all, VfL have not yet won any of the first three Bundesliga home games of the 2024/25 season (one draw, two defeats) and now welcomes an opponent who collected seven of their eight points away. Only Bayern, who have had to play away from home more often, picked up more points (ten) than SVW (seven).

• Wolfsburg has scored points in 6 of the last 7 BL games against Werder Bremen (4-2-1)
• Werder Bremen got 7 of the 8 points in the 2024/25 season away from home
• Wolfsburg has been waiting for a win in 4 BL home games across all seasons (0-1-3)
• Werder Bremen scored their first 8 goals of the season in the Bundesliga, all away from home
• Wolfsburg have scored in their last 7 Bundesliga games in a row
• Werder Bremen have not yet conceded a single goal after dead balls
• Wolfsburg has the best chance conversion in the Bundesliga in the 2024/25 season (26 percent)

The forecast for Wolfsburg against Werder Bremen is correspondingly interesting: the Weserelf also collected the full three points in Lower Saxony. Merkur Bets offers odds of 3.61 for this, which we play very carefully with three out of ten units.

The odds of 3.61 give us a positive expected value even with a probability of occurrence of 28 percent. In contrast to the AI, which puts Bremen’s chances of winning at just 23 percent, we definitely see this probability of occurrence as very realistic. By the way, even more outsider betting tips can be found in the linked article.

Odds probabilities for Wolfsburg win / draw / Werder Bremen win:

Wolfsburg – Werder Bremen – betting odds * & other interesting bets at a glance:
Over/Under 2.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals: 1.68 @Bet365
Under 2.5 goals: 2.05 @Bet365

Both teams score
AND: 1.54 @Bet365
NO: 2.25 @Bet365

Betting odds as of October 18, 2024, 9:01 a.m