Will the Wang Keyin Column/The Liberal Democratic Party fall into the hands of the Japanese Communist Party? Will Shigeru Ishiba still have weapons in his hands if he doesn’t resign?

Will the Wang Keyin Column/The Liberal Democratic Party fall into the hands of the Japanese Communist Party? Will Shigeru Ishiba still have weapons in his hands if he does not resign?

Wang Keyin / International TV Program Producer

In the 50th election in Japan, the Liberal Democratic Party suffered a heavy defeat, and the number of seats at Komeito was not great either. 233 seats needed for a majority. However, although the nine main opposition camps led by the Student Party won 250 seats, it will not be easy to consolidate and fight the Liberal Democratic Party. After the election of the House of Representatives, how to create a majority alliance, how Shigeru Ishiba handles a crisis, how to deal with opposition parties, etc. is the core of the cabinet system and the deepest aspects of Japanese politics.

To be fair, before the election, various Japanese media believed that the Liberal Democratic Party’s poor performance in the election was a matter of losing more and losing less. Before the election, Liberal Democratic Party president Shigeru Ishiba knew that the number of seats would inevitably be revised and that he would not be able to repeat the stable majority of the Kishida cabinet. but he still suffered a great blow. In general, Japanese voters remain dissatisfied with Ishiba Shigeru’s handling of the issue of political donations among members of the House of Representatives, and the last straw that broke the election was the Japanese Communist Party, which only had 10 seats before the election.

The Japanese Communist Party newspaper “Red Flag” has amazing investigative reporting capabilities. They were all involved in the politics of control and ran for elections and were criticized for “double-handedness.” Even though Shigeru Ishiba said, “The money is not used for elections, but to promote the policies of the Liberal Democratic Party,” he still could not escape the fierce pursuit of Yoshihiko Noda, leader the Cadet Democratic Party.

The negative effects of the Liberal Democratic Party’s “black market nomination tax (Rato admits)” were devastating, causing the governing Komeito coalition to reduce its number of seats from 32 before the election to 24. People who knew the matter even suspected “there are Communist spies within the Liberal Democratic Party.” A senior media person analyzed that Shigeru Ishiba cannot help the violators in the election by giving election money to pave the way to go back to the Liberal Democratic Party after the election ” It is difficult to understand why Act quickly before the election when it is more likely to be suspected.”

Shigeru Ishiba has refused to resign, and Congress is the real battleground next The Japanese Constitution states that the procedure for electing the prime minister is members of the House and Senate to be elected by registered vote total votes will be elected. If there are not more than half, the person who receives the first vote is elected. With such rules of the game, it is not appropriate to look down on the Liberal Democratic Party too soon, or to help Japan call for the rotation of political parties.

Firstly, even though the number of seats has fallen significantly, the Liberal Democratic Party still has 191 seats in the House of Representatives Compared to the Cadets’ 148 seats, the Liberal Democratic Party is the largest party in the Congress still The Liberal Democratic Party with 215 seats must get a majority of 233 seats, which is needed It is much easier than the unity of the nine opposition parties, even if not a majority, get a relative majority of chips in the second round far better than the opposition parties.

Hyundai, a weekly magazine owned by Kodansha, Japan’s largest publishing house, quoted a member of the Student Democratic Party as saying they knew the Liberal Democratic Party was facing serious headwinds, but they did not expect lost so much that they were not ready. for the distribution of political parties. In the past, the Cadet Party used “opposition parties to fight together” to include opposition parties such as the Japanese Communist Party, the National Democratic Party, and the Social Democratic Party, but they were not challenges to the Liberal Democratic Party at all, the increase in seats this time is not the result of cooperation between the opposition parties, but dissatisfaction with the Liberal Democratic Party due to bad votes. The opposition camp has a left-left system, and the leader of the Cadet Party Yoshihiko Noda cannot decide.

The opposition parties have different ideologies and have no opportunities for policy cooperation After the election, they all played a high tone. that they would not join the “Liberal Democratic Alliance”, but the following The plan is that they all want to be in the main minority and the position of cabinet minister they will get the position of prime minister.

If the opposition parties do not come together in the next provisional Congress, Ishiba will hold a drama against Noda, he is definitely not an opponent of Ishiba. Even if Ishiba retains the post of prime minister with a majority in the form of a “liberal alliance”, without a majority of 18 seats, budgets and legal accounts are both targets of attack by the opposition parties.

Once Ishiba retires, he will become Japan’s shortest-serving Prime Minister Dissolving the House of Representatives is the exclusive power of the Prime Minister As long as the Prime Minister can prevent it the opposition party moves to build a cabinet without confidence, no one can fire Ishiba. Lenin, the Russian revolutionary, said that the strongest fortress must be broken from the inside outside the fortress, but those who compete with him in the presidential election the Liberal Democratic Party “Comrades”.

Ling Media’s original website:Will the Wang Keyin Column/The Liberal Democratic Party fall into the hands of the Japanese Communist Party? Will Shigeru Ishiba still have weapons in his hands if he does not resign?