Why didn’t Hezbollah apply the “Tel Aviv versus suburb Beirut” deterrence formula? | news

Military and strategic expert Major General Fayez Al-Duwairi said that Hezbollah did not apply the proven deterrence equation by bombing Tel Aviv versus targeting the Lebanese suburb of Beirut because of the his own calculations, and that he did not strike the ammonia factories in Haifa for the same. reasons.

Al-Duwairi pointed out – while analyzing the military scene in the region – that his proven equation did not oppose due to the weakness of the American administration during the time of President Joe Biden, and the desire of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. to move the cards and light the area.

He pointed out that Iran has not done anything since the assassination of Ismail Haniyeh, head of the political bureau of the anti-Islamic Movement (Hamas), on its soil, while other areas began to provide limited support, such as the Houthis in the Yemen and the “Islamic Resistance in Iraq.”

The military expert considered the bombing of the Ramat David Airport base north of Haifa – from which Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Galant threatened Hezbollah – to carry a symbolic message, and stressed that the party does not want to increase its would lead to an extended ground war, but he wants to maintain the balance of the deterrence equation.

Regarding the type of Israeli targets that were targeted, the strategic expert believes that the hoopoe videos broadcast by Hezbollah identified the target bank and that they were divided into strategic targets ( center of gravity) and kinetic (terror value) and sent messages saying, “We can reach all the locations and facilities we were filming before.” .

It hit targets that exceeded these critical targets, such as the ammonia plants in Haifa, where Hezbollah missiles passed but did not hit them.

Earlier today, Sunday, Hezbollah announced the bombing of military sites in the city of Haifa, northern Israel, with “Fadi 1” and “Fadi 2” missiles for the first time since the start of the border conflict with Israel about a year ago, as a result of the bombing, several Israelis were injured and materially damaged.

The Hezbollah bombing followed a series of bombings that damaged pagers and walkie-talkies in various regions of Lebanon, and the assassination of the party’s top military leaders in an Israeli attack targeting Beirut’s southern suburbs. .