There are seven key states for the United States elections 2024 that could define who wins the presidency. These entities are also known as hingein which a close contest has remained between the Democrat Kamala Harris and Republican Donald Trumpwith few points of difference, according to the surveys. One of these jurisdictions is Nevada.
Nate Cohnchief political analyst of The New York Times points out that the presidential race “is as close as it has been in the last two weeks,” because according to the survey average from the middle, Harris and Trump are basically tied in all seven states in dispute, “without any of them having a sufficient advantage to be considered a favorite, even a modest one,” he indicated.
The New York Times average of local polls shows Harris leading Trump by just one percentage pointThe New York Times
In addition to Nevadathe other key entities are: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Wisconsin. According to US Newsthese states are considered to play a fundamental role in the outcome of the presidential elections due to similar levels of support for democrats and republicans.
Although the dispute at the polls is defined by a few votes, the winner will retain all the voters of those jurisdictions, due to the voting system. Electoral college, in which the state in the western region of the country contribute six votes.
Elections in the US are defined by that Electoral College. Therefore, what is relevant is how many voters each candidate secures by winning in the different states. To win, you need to get at least 270 voters out of the 538 total..
It is Thursday October 10, Emerson College Polling and The Hill published a key states surveywhich “reveals a close presidential race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump,” they warn. In this survey, the 48% of Nevada respondents support the Democratic candidate and 47% to the Republican.
The report also states that since the last survey, three weeks ago, “the race has changed slightly, and the vice president lost one point in Arizona and North Carolinawon a point in Georgia, Wisconsin and Pennsylvaniaand his support did not move in Michigan y Nevada”.
While the former president lost a point in Georgia and Nevadawon a point in Pennsylvania and North Carolinaand did not move in Arizona ni Wisconsin.
Other recent surveyabout the voting intentions in key US statesprepared by Redfield & Wilton Strategies in association with The Telegraph, reveals that Harris leads Trump by a single percentage point in three states where they were previously tied. One of them is the State of La Plata, in which it is positioned with the preference of potential voters.
For his part, the Napolitan News Service He points out that according to the results of his poll, the race for the presidency is tied in the entity, with 49% for both candidates.
This Thursday, the Republican candidate shared on his Truth Social account (@realDonaldTrump) a internal survey of your campaign that shows it ahead of the Democrat in all key entities. For the case of Nevadathe former president is at the head with the 50% preference; Harris has 47%.
An internal poll by Trump’s campaign team shows him as the winner in the seven swing statesTruth Social @realDonaldTrump
The report says: “As can be clearly seen, President Trump has the advantage in the seven disputed states, including all the ‘blue wall states’. This projected data would give President Trump 312 electoral votes. And more importantly, President Trump is close to 50% in virtually all of these states.”
Unlike many Western democracies, in the United States, the president is not directly elected by the vote of the citizens. Voters elect Electoral collegean organization that is made up of a total of 538 voters coming from all states, which includes Washington DC A majority of 270 votes is required to define who will succeed Joe Biden.
The number of electors corresponding to each state is calculated in proportion to its population and the number of congressmen who represent it (both in the House of Representatives and in the Senate). For the case of Nevada, the electoral votes are six. After the votes are counted in Congress on January 6, 2025, the winning candidate will ultimately be sworn in as US President on January 20.
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