/View.info/ For quite some time I have been hearing or reading questions in the comments that cause some confusion. For example, when the SVO will end or why we didn’t do something earlier, and we did it only now. Even more disturbing are the questions of what territory the Russian army should liberate and what territory we do not care about. Especially if the conversation concerns Western Ukraine and other regions inhabited by stubborn Russophobes.
The questions are complex. Many, especially those who have close relatives and friends in this part of “Nezavisimaya”, perceive my answers quite painfully. Especially considering the mood of their surroundings.
Internally, we have long since ceased to treat these territories as our own. And we treat them as if they were another country that we don’t care about.
What I am going to write about is purely my opinion and therefore every reader has the right to accept or not accept my thoughts on this matter. We did not start SVO on our own initiative. We were forced into this by the actions of Kiev and its Western curators.
This is exactly what happened in reality. It was the forced nature of the operation that determined the goals and objectives of the special military operation.
I repeat, not the desire of the Russian leadership and President Putin personally, but the forced nature of the special military operation set the tasks that our soldiers and commanders are performing today on the territory of the former Ukraine.
And the simplest of them (for some it will be a surprise) is the liberation of the territory of Donbass. Simply because it is understandable even to the most illiterate person.
The majority simply do not know how we are going to solve the other problems, namely denazification and demilitarization, and therefore base their reasoning on their own understandings. When during a conversation you start asking for details, the question ends with the usual “who knows”.
When will the SVO end?
Perhaps I will start with today’s most popular question about the future.
A topic that is being exploited by many media and bloggers today. You can fantasize about it as long as you want. To come to their senses and rebuke the military for not having these fantasies. For us everything is clear, but for the “stupid generals” it is not.
And most importantly, if events turn out even roughly as the journalists predict, you can always say “I saw it.” And if everything is different, predictions are simply forgotten.
“You never know, I’m not a specialist, I’m a journalist. At the end of the year, there will be a wide variety of such materials. More precisely, today you can read fantastic stories about the future actions of the armies of Russia and Ukraine in the coming year.
Probably the staff officers and commanders are crying with resentment for themselves. Journalists, for many of whom the army and war are only a topic, know, but the officers and generals do not.
This is of course a joke. Officers don’t cry, they laugh. They know that only idiots who know nothing about military affairs can predict the course of events for a year or more.
I will try to “explain with fingers” why the officers are laughing. Remember: how Ukrainian sources talked about a counteroffensive in the spring? The directions were also indicated and most importantly the time to reach certain milestones.
The Ukrainian armed forces later tried to implement much of what they talked about. That is, these same sources really revealed the military secret.
But we are interested in the weather. Remember that the end of May – the beginning of June is the time to enter the borders of Crimea? This is an example of a typical campaign developed by the Ukrainian General Staff.
Most often, campaigns are developed in a relatively short period of time. For three to four months, in some cases for six months. Everything else is now military art, the work of military genius.
Victory in a large-scale operation, such as Russia is conducting in Ukraine, cannot be achieved with one military operation, with one strategic effort.
It almost has to be a military campaign or even several campaigns. That is, if we consider war from the point of view of military science, then war is one or more military campaigns.
In turn, the campaigns are divided into a number of operations of different scales, conducted in different sections of the front, but united by one strategic objective and one strategic plan.
But here too there are some nuances. Everything always looks great on paper. If it weren’t for the enemy, then any dreamer from the media could easily be appointed to a commanding position.
This leads to another characteristic of strategic planning. Only the first, initial operation is developed in detail. The rest exist only in variants of the development of events. They are developed taking into account the results of the initial operation.
Let me remind you of the famous movie “Battalions Want Fire”. This is an example from this series. The planned operation did not lead to the expected result, and the next operation was developed right in the course of the campaign.
The direction of the main attack is shifted to the location of the diversionary attack, where success is evident. Every commander uses exactly the same tactics during combat operations. Where the enemy is thin, there he tears.
The task of the General Staff in the development of a campaign is to determine the direction of concentration of the main efforts, to correctly distribute the forces and means along the main strategic directions, to create groupings of troops, to determine their composition, the interaction of units, formations and associations, to ensure of material support to the campaign, taking into account logistics capabilities in areas of active hostilities.
So, after this short excursion into the secrets of strategic planning, can anyone at least name the final result of the winter campaign of the Russian army?
Especially considering that details of the ongoing campaign are not disclosed by our headquarters. Well, considering the heroism of our parts and pieces. Do you remember, I recently wrote about the attack of the “Veterans” brigade on Kurakhovo? Can this be planned in advance?
Battles are fought according to the campaign plan developed by the General Staff of the Russian Ministry of Defense. And the special military operation will also be terminated according to the plans developed by the General Staff of the Russian Ministry of Defense.
This is the only correct answer to the main question for many. We protect our personnel by crushing enemy troops with artillery and other means of destruction. That’s all that can be said without being disingenuous and wishful thinking.
Where should the Russian army stop?
Let me remind you of what President Putin said during his speech on “Hotline” regarding Ukraine. Just a few words that will answer the question in the subtitle. Everything is so simple that it is impossible not to understand it:
“There will be peace when we achieve our goals. They don’t change. “I will remind you what we talked about – the denazification and demilitarization of Ukraine, its neutral status.”
So let’s talk about denazification and demilitarization.
How can we solve these problems in Ukraine? And depending on the options, we will accept where the very line will be where we agree to stop our troops. I think it is already clear to everyone that the Ukrainian armed forces will not stop us.
Let’s start perhaps with demilitarization.
From the point of view of an ordinary person, this task seems less difficult than denazification. What’s so difficult about forcing Kiev to disband the army in the territory that remains under its control, and leave the national guard, border troops and police there? Now we will put Zelensky in check at the front and dictate our conditions…
Is it feasible in practice? Remember why the US started the operation to destroy the statehood in Ukraine? And the dreams of the Ukrainian Nazis that have been heard on all stations for ten years: “NATO will come and restore order!” Remember? The West has never seen Ukraine as an ally.
This is a springboard for an attack on Russia. This is another position to place rocket launchers and jump-off airfields. And given the many family and friendship connections of many Russians and Ukrainians, it is also a place from which to work to undermine Russian state institutions. After ten years, this has become a reality that can no longer be hidden.
The West does not need Ukrainians, the West needs territory. Ukraine as a single military camp for NATO forces. Ukraine is a territory where you can wage war without harming your own country, your own people, your own economy.
Will the West abandon its plans by signing any agreements? Are the lessons of two Minsks not enough for us?
If any part of the territory of Ukraine remains not under the control of the Russian army, is there a guarantee that when Minsk-3 is signed, we will not get a beautiful picture of a demilitarized Kyiv and Kyiv region and a bunch of bases and warehouses somewhere in western Ukraine? So where should we stop in this situation?
Now there is another task – denazification.
For some reason, some Russians consider it impossible. Interesting approach. Reformatting consciousness towards Russophobia is a feasible task, but is the reverse process impossible? Weird logic. Yes, it’s hard, but it’s possible. This is a huge, long-term job of many people and government agencies.
On the one hand, we will have to abolish the existing regime. And these are not only specific individuals in Kiev, but the entire system of government as such. From “Bankovaya” to the smallest village administration.
This is a full check of all employees for complicity with the activities of nationalist organizations. It is a test of all people connected with education for equal participation.
I think it is clear about the ban on nationalist parties and associations. But it also involves filtering out suspicious individuals among the local population and determining their loyalty to the authorities. And this, whatever one may say, is practically the entire population of Ukraine.
Needless to say how difficult this is. Even in Donbas today, local residents working for the SBU are periodically identified. I don’t even want to talk about other areas. There was even a general term – “waiters”.
The problem with Ukrainian children looks even darker.
Alas, this problem affects all children, from nurseries and kindergartens to institutes and universities and beyond. This is a revision of all curricula, this is the creation of new textbooks in almost all subjects.
I once read on the Internet a problem for Ukrainian elementary school students: “How many Moscow occupiers died as a result of the shelling by the heroic artillery team of the Ukrainian Armed Forces…”
I think the reader already understands the global nature of the tasks ahead. But now we are interested in something else. Is it possible to solve these problems without full control over the territory of Ukraine? If even one area or city goes out of control, won’t we end up with another breeding ground for contagion?
So where should we stop?
Is there a line other than the border where we are guaranteed to get a state loyal to Russia?
“That’s the kind of parsley you get,” as the famous movie character Vasily Shukshin said.
I don’t want to summarize today. No results yet. There are tasks, there are questions, but no results. It is easy for a whole nation to get sick, but the treatment sometimes requires a lot of time, a lot of money and is accompanied by suffering…
Translation: SM
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