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What the Hurricane Milton forecast says about Florida: will it affect Miami?

He United States National Hurricane Center (NHCfor its acronym in English) monitors the progress of the Hurricane Miltonwhich moves from the southwest of the Bay of Campeche through the Gulf of Mexicoheading northeast, towards the eastern coasts of the state of Floridawhere a strong climatic instability during the next few days.

The current location of Hurricane Milton, and other systems monitored by the NHCNHC

The agency reported that the major hurricane of category 3 on the Saffir-Simpson scale it is currently located in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. According to the National Water Commission of Mexico (Conagua), 235 kilometers northwest of Celestúnand slowly approaches towards the Yucatan Peninsula. Hurricane force winds extend up to 55 kilometers from the center and tropical storm force winds extend up to 130 kilometers from the center.

The NHC detailed that Milton It is currently moving east at a forward speed of 13 kilometers per hourwith maximum sustained winds that are close to 205 kilometers per hour, with higher gusts. So, then experience a slight turn towards the southeast until tonight and passing near the Yucatan Peninsula, will turn east and northeast again during Tuesday and Wednesday, heading towards Florida.

As the hours pass, The NHC predicts that Hurricane Milton gets even stronger and reach category 4, “extremely dangerous”late this Monday, and to maintain that intensity for the next two days. After crossing the Gulf of Mexico from southwest to northeast this Tuesday and Wednesday, The tropical cyclone is expected to make landfall with this intensity on the west coast of Florida between Wednesday afternoon and evening.

The predicted path of Hurricane MiltonNHC

For this reason, a hurricane warning for: all coastal areas from Chokoloskee to the mouth of the Suwanee River, including the Tampa Bay and the island of Dry Tortugas. It is then expected to cross the entire center of the southeastern US state from west to east, with serious climatic consequences in the region. “It is a unusual trajectory and extremely worrying for a hurricane approaching the Tampa Bay area,” warned the chief meteorologist of AccuWeather, Jonathan Porter.

The fourteenth tropical cyclone of this hurricane season 2024 of the Atlantic Ocean will generate conditions of severe weather in the region in the coming days. “Milton has the potential to become one of Florida’s most damaging and costly hurricanes, and will bring with it a variety of life-threatening hazards,” Porter said.. In the immediate future, the storm surge will raise water levels from 90 centimeters to 1.5 meters above ground level along the northern coast of Mexico’s Yucatan Peninsula, accompanied by large and destructive waves.

Much of Florida also remains under a virus alert. storm surgewhich could cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the coast. If the peak of this phenomenon occurs simultaneously with the high tide, some points such as desde Anclote River a Englewood They could experience anywhere from 2.4 meters to 3.6 meters above the ground.

Florida coastal areas under storm surge alertNHC

The forecasts indicate that in Tampa Bay there may be between 2.4 and 3.6 extra meters; from Yankeetown to Anclote Riverbetween 1.5 and 3 meters; from Englewood to Bonita Beachbetween 1.5 and 3 meters; in Charlotte Harborbetween 1.5 and 3 meters; from Bonita Beach to Chokoloskeebetween 1.2 and 2.1 meters; and desde Suwannee River a Yankeetownbetween 90 centimeters and 1.5 meters.

In turn, alerts govern excessive rains in the area. The NHC generally expects accumulated quantities of 12 to 25 centimeterswith localized totals of up to 38 centimetersin parts of the Florida Peninsula and the Keys until Wednesday night. “These rainfalls carry the risk of considerable flash, urban and area floodsalong with the potential for moderate to significant river flooding,” warned the entity, who also predicted totals of five to ten centimeters across portions of northern Yucatán.

THE NATION

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