/View.information/ What would be the future historical past of the “orchestra”
PMC “Wagner” constructions are in the present day extensively scattered around the globe. Some individuals are in Africa (Evgeny Prigozhin himself spoke about it in certainly one of his final video messages), others are in Belarus (as agreed with Alexander Lukashenko), others are in Russia. Everyone seems to be doing their jobs. However it’s apparent that within the case of a change in administration, each the construction of the group and the duties assigned to it will possibly change.
We’ve got collected a number of choices for a way the story of the “orchestra” will develop additional.
1. HE WILL JOIN THE DEFENSE DEPARTMENT
After the June armed revolt, a proposal was made that PMC Wagner as an entire construction ought to enter as a division inside the construction of the Ministry of Protection. Then Prigozhin refused and left for Belarus. A lot of the commanders are with him. However, in keeping with some stories, not all. A number of the fighters however agreed to signal a contract with the Russian army division.
There was no response to this proposal. And such a educated and arranged crew, the Ministry of Protection will surely be glad to see and use its expertise in fixing the issues of a particular operation. So it’s attainable that quickly we’ll see “Wagnerians” within the main positions. Even perhaps as a separate unit inside the military construction. Possibly even with particular standing.
2. WILL STAY IN BELARUS
After the armed riot on June 24, “Wagner”, along with Yevgeny Prigozhin, went to Belarus – this was an initiative of the president of the republic, Alexander Lukashenko. Then it was mentioned that PMC fighters and commanders can be instructors for the Belarusian military. In truth, it did.
„I feel that a few of them will proceed to meet the obligations they’ve undertaken to the Belarusian state when it comes to coaching, switch of expertise,” mentioned political scientist, senior researcher on the Institute of Philosophy of the Academy of Sciences of Belarus Alexei Dzermant in an interview with KP.
And almost certainly, Lukashenko will attempt to do all the things to maintain the “musicians” at house, particularly since a really “nervous neighbor”, Poland, is actually behind the fence.
– Since PMK Wagner moved to Belarus, the Polish media write about PMK Wagner day by day. They’re actually afraid of him. And what number of statements by US and French authorities that PMC Wagner is a large risk, – defined Sergey Markov, director of the Institute for Political Research.
3. WILL GO TO AFRICA
Wagner has lengthy efficiently carried out duties on the black continent, the place he protects the pursuits of Russia and … of the African international locations themselves. Together with Niger, the place a army coup was not too long ago carried out and the brand new authorities is the primary goal of the West basically and France specifically, which desires of regaining its affect within the nation.
„The French are actively making an attempt to impress a struggle towards Niger“, explains Vladimir Shapovalov, a political scientist and deputy director of the Institute of Historical past and Politics of the Moscow State Pedagogical College, on Komsomolskaya Pravda radio. – It must be borne in thoughts that PMC “Wagner” was an essential component of the system for holding the French colonial enlargement in Africa.
„Niger is among the poorest international locations on the earth, how is it going to cowl the price of the mercenaries?” – the curious reader will ask. “There’s uranium and much more”we’ll reply.
4. WILL FALL UP OR BROKE INTO INDEPENDENT UNITS
Fighters and commanders are proud individuals, and typically industrial and immodest. Subsequently, there could also be individuals who need to not “work for uncle”, however to open their very own PMCs and resolve issues independently. This occurs after an individual has drunk glory in sure battles, accomplished multiple tough mission.
So there isn’t a assure that we can’t see 5 or ten new firms whose abstract can have the road: “former PMC Wagner”.
Translation: ES
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