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What does the election of Trump mean for the fronts in the Middle East and Ukraine –

Donald Trump was elected the 47th president of the United States and during his election campaign he pledged to indirectly but clearly bring world peace. Among the issues he promised to resolve are the crisis in the Middle East, the situation of which is becoming increasingly tense, but also the war in Ukraine.

“I will end the war in Ukraine in one day”

In fact, regarding the war between Ukraine and Russia, Donald Trump had repeatedly stated that he could end the hostilities himself “in a day”. However, whenever he was asked how, he referred to reaching an agreement, without giving further details.

According to information reported by the BBC, a document drawn up by two of Trump’s former national security chiefs in May states that the US should continue to supply arms to Ukraine, but on the condition that peace talks with Ukraine begin. Russia.

The West, on the other hand, in order not to further exacerbate the bad climate with Russia, has delayed Ukraine’s accession to NATO. In fact, the two former advisers to Trump had stated that Kiev should not give up its hopes of taking back the territories under Russian occupation.

Of course, the Democratic opponents of the new president had argued at the time that Trump likes Vladimir Putin and this approach is tantamount to handing over Ukraine, which could endanger the whole of Europe.

The president-elect has made it clear since his election campaign that his priority is ending wars and draining American resources. However, it is not yet clear whether the document in question represents the thinking of Donald Trump. It is possible, however, that he will be a “guide” that he will receive from the people he chooses to have by his side.

How will the many fronts in the Middle East be “closed”.

In the Middle East things are a bit more complex, as there are more fronts. Hamas and Israel in Gaza, Hezbollah and Israel in Lebanon, Houthis in the Red Sea. Of course, the “revolutionary organizations”, as they call themselves, are supported by Iran, which has now opened a new front with the IDF and the government of Benjamin Netanyahu.

All this is known to Donald Trump, yet as in the case of Ukraine, he has promised to bring peace to the region.

He has repeatedly stated that if he were in power, the October 7, 2023, attack by Hamas would not have taken place. The argument he used was that he would exert “maximum political pressure” on Iran, which finances the organization.

In general, it is very likely that Donald Trump will impose a raft of sanctions on the Iranian state, as well as withdraw from the nuclear weapons agreement.

“The best friend Israel ever had in the White House”

His return to the White House may signal the resumption of yet another pro-Israel policy. It is recalled that during his first term he had designated Jerusalem as the capital of Israel, while he had also moved the US embassy there. In fact, at the time he had argued that it was a move that gave “energy” to the Christian evangelical base of his supporters.

Benjamin Netanyahu said of Donald Trump, he is “the best friend Israel ever had in the White House.” The Israeli prime minister did not hide his joy at the victory of the Republican president.

Israel’s prime minister was among the first to call the US president-elect to congratulate him. Benjamin Netanyahu’s office, however, stated that the two leaders had a very “warm and cordial” conversation, as they “agreed to work together for the security of the Israeli state.” As noted in the announcement, the two also discussed the threat of Iran, which is believed to be behind a plan to assassinate Trump.

At the same time, as reported by Axios, the US president and the Israeli prime minister had a rift, but in Donald Trump’s first term they had put aside any differences. While it seems that the two have a frequent telephone communication.

Awaiting the expiration of the ultimatum

Shortly before the US election, the US Secretaries of State and Defense, Blinken and Austin respectively, sent a letter to the Israeli Ministers of Defense and Military Affairs, Galland and Dermer. The letter was essentially an ultimatum from the US to Israel to resolve the humanitarian crisis in the Gaza Strip within 30 days. Otherwise, the US government would cut off the supply of arms to Tel Aviv.

That deadline expires on November 12, when the US side may also limit the flow of arms. But, in the shadow of the election result, this decision may have a greater or lesser impact on Benjamin Netanyahu’s government.

According to the Guardian, this move may not be made and will take place after Trump’s inauguration on January 20.

Global concern over the development of wars

International leaders rushed to call Donald Trump after the results, not only to congratulate him, but also to draw his attention to both the war in Ukraine and the situation in the Middle East.

Among them is Emmanuel Macron, who asked the US president to cooperate “and for Europe, but also to face common challenges”, as reported by Politico. The two leaders agreed to remain in “close contact”.

For her part, Georgia Meloni, in her post on X, mentioned that she had a conversation with Donald Trump. “During the telephone conversation we expressed our willingness to work in close coordination on all important international files, with the common goal of promoting stability and security“, he wrote among other things.

Finally, Keir Starmer called the US president-elect to congratulate him but also to emphasize the importance of stability in the Middle East, amid escalating regional tensions.

The Trump decision

Donald Trump has proven that he has some powerful allies on his side, both Vladimir Putin and Benjamin Netanyahu. But he himself has declared that he wants to end the wars in their regions. Now it remains to be seen how the new president will handle the situations and decide how to advance the diplomatic processes in Ukraine and Gaza.

#election #Trump #fronts #Middle #East #Ukraine

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