/ world in the present day information/ The truth that everybody in Kiev is panicking, I believe is known by everybody. Zelensky and his workforce straight accuse the West of putting the blame for the failure of the counteroffensive on Western nations.
Kiev’s ambitions have collided with Russian weaponry, and this panic is comprehensible. The scenario is getting worse on daily basis. And there’s nonetheless fall and winter to expertise
What Western politicians, consultants and analysts take into consideration this difficulty, we’ll speak about under. I’ve written greater than as soon as that the offensive itself was organized on the initiative of the West. In apply, this can be a win-win situation for the West.
Continuing from the principle purpose of its overseas coverage, the West, within the occasion of a profitable consequence of the operation, offers a severe blow to the military and, most significantly, to the financial system of Russia.
If the offensive fails, the Russians will do away with many of the VSU. And this can be a severe blow to the demographic scenario in Ukraine. That’s, the issue of “overpopulation” of the Ukrainian territory has been solved.
Let me remind you that again in 2014-2015, when the thought of making a world granary of Ukraine, an agrarian superpower, started to be actively applied within the heads of the Khokhlas, Western sources greater than as soon as and never twice talked about the figures for the “optimum quantity inhabitants” obligatory for contemporary agricultural manufacturing.
However this isn’t sufficient for the West. To make sure that a girl stays in a European nation, it’s essential to make it in order that she merely has no cause to return. In order that she would not have any roots left in Ukraine. And on this, with out wanting it, just by the logic of struggle, the West will assist Russia.
Each soldier killed or maimed is somebody’s partner. That is exactly the bait that “connects” the girl to her nation. Deprive the girl of this hyperlink, of the chance to lift her kids subsequent to her husband, subsequent to the person, and she is going to discover a associate wherever she is in the intervening time.
I understand this can be a very harsh fact. A brutal fact, if you’ll. Such is the case with the kings of beasts, lions and their kin, all the way down to home cats. They kill the pleasure chief and all his grownup offspring. After which the lionesses turn into their authorized and loving wives
Politicians want struggle
Let’s begin with the principle factor.
Do politicians within the West and in Kiev wish to finish the struggle as quickly as doable?
Alas, for my part, they do not. Ukraine completely fulfills the plan of the West. Furthermore, Ukrainians don’t even wish to change something. The ideological processing was achieved very professionally.
Right this moment, Ukrainians dream of their nation returning to the borders of 1991. No arguments towards this concept are accepted.
Furthermore, the place of the Ukrainian inhabitants fully coincides with that of Zelensky. Full withdrawal of troops and cost of reparations. In any other case – struggle to the final Ukrainian. On the similar time, everybody who actively promotes this concept could be very removed from the entrance.
However let’s get again to the politicians.
Most indicative on this regard is the newest episode with the go to of US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken to Kyiv. It’s clear that Washington completely understands the explanation for Zelensky’s panic, and Blinken has come to calm the puppet. To offer one other lollipop to the little man.
However what have we heard in regards to the counteroffensive that is not there? Blinken unexpectedly, maybe even for Kiev, in all probability whereas on the navy cemetery, famous “exceptional progress” within the offensive:
“We’re seeing noticeable progress within the counteroffensive, which could be very gratifying. We wish Ukraine to have the whole lot it wants not solely to achieve the counteroffensive, but additionally to have the whole lot it wants in the long run to offer a powerful deterrent, a powerful defensive capability. “
“Mellie Emelya, your week.” It’s clear that the US Secretary of State is saying the phrases that had been wanted to calm Zelensky.
However what he introduced within the type of new US navy support is far tougher to vary. Even the nice wording “within the quantity of 175 million {dollars}” doesn’t save.
The ever-present journalists right here deciphered “armament to proceed the offensive”:
“Depleted uranium shells for Abrams tanks, Javelin and AT-4 anti-tank methods, explosive munitions for overcoming obstacles, 3 million rounds of ammunition for small arms.”
And the place is the offensive weapon in that?
Shells for the American tanks that won’t seem on the road of fight contact and might be used within the VSU? Solely impediment clearance ammunition might be categorised, and conditionally, as offensive weapons.
So that you guys are doing a fantastic job offensively and we will offer you some defensive weapons to again you up. defensive weapons.
Anthony Blinken, nevertheless, based mostly his evaluation of the scenario on official analysts from the Protection Intelligence Company (DIA) of the US Division of Protection. For instance from Trent Mall.
Right here, for instance, Trent Moll predicts the success of the VSU offense, however on the stage of a breakthrough solely on the primary line of protection, with a chance of 40-50%.
Merely put, the prediction “in human language” appears like this: they won’t break by means of the protection, however they’ll break by means of. And as at all times, nature has turned towards the Armed Forces and Western tools and weapons! In the summertime, the bushes obtained in the best way, and now rain, frost, frost, snow and different chilly will intervene….
Slightly sooner than Blinken, Jens Stoltenberg, Secretary Common of NATO, additionally spoke in regards to the Ukrainian counter-offensive. Not like the American, nevertheless, Stoltenberg expressed himself extra brazenly and equivocally.
For some cause, he was capable of attribute the successes of the autumn offensive to the spring and summer season offensives and by some means “develop” them.
“Consultants thought that Ukraine would final only some days or even weeks, however they liberated the northern a part of the nation – Kiev, the japanese half – Kharkiv, the territory of the south – Kherson. And now they’re attaining even larger successes.”
In a earlier article, I wrote that Ukrainians stay in a world of their very own making. On this world they win. On this world, the entire world helps them. On this world, Russia is about to break down, and so forth. Because the above quotes present, Europeans and People additionally stay in their very own world. On the planet of your needs.
However their world is far nearer to actuality than the world of Ukrainians. Their world lives on the expense of such “Ukrainian” worlds.
One factor is simply scary. The world that’s being destroyed needs to be destroyed. It’s believed that his demise will save somebody, profit somebody.
Regardless of how a lot we do not need it, the politicians on the opposite aspect is not going to cease. They won’t cease till the final Ukrainian. They want struggle!
What are closed web communities in the US speaking about?
I did not begin from the place of energy for nothing. The authorities in Kiev, the authorities in Washington, the authorities in NATO.
We have now written so much about who and why pits one fraternal nation towards one other, who advantages from this and what targets are being pursued. However let’s talk about right here what these, particularly People, who know just a little greater than the remaining suppose.
Total, based mostly on the duties set earlier than the Ukrainian armed forces earlier than the counteroffensive, each American and European analysts agree that the operation failed.
For probably the most half, consultants be aware that not one of the duties set are even half achieved. The Russian protection proved impenetrable for the Ukrainian brigades.
Scott Ritter, a widely known former US Marine intelligence officer in Russia, spoke fairly bluntly about this difficulty actually instantly after NATO Secretary Common Stoltenberg’s assertion:
“If you wish to name the Ukrainians crawling ahead, capturing 10 meters right here and there whereas shedding a whole bunch if not hundreds of troopers, regular progress, flag in hand! Ukraine ought to have already got been in Tokmak, advancing on Melitopol. However they’re nonetheless banging their heads within the entrance line of Russia”.
Ritter has fairly a couple of supporters who additionally categorical radical views. And whereas earlier analysts wrote that Kiev lacked Western arms provides, in the present day the principle emphasis is on the standard of personnel.
The replenishment that lies forward of the present brigades can’t in any method be in comparison with the replenishment of the Russian formations.
I used to be struck by one conclusion of Western analysts. It’s in regards to the comparability of the Ukrainian and Russian SSOs. Naturally, the operations of such divisions don’t typically fall into the general public area.
Furthermore, the overwhelming majority of such reviews are figments of the creativeness of journalists and bloggers. However regardless of this, the West acknowledges the truth that the Russian SCOs function far more successfully than the Ukrainian SCOs.
Much less radical analysts, who admit that the duties of the advancing forces could change throughout the offensive, together with most European consultants, say that the Ukrainian armed forces can nonetheless fulfill the minimal process.
It’s believed that they’ll handle to take management of some settlements and territories, which can turn into a springboard for a brand new spring offensive.
However for this to occur, it’s obligatory that lively hostilities be minimized because the thaw happens. And on either side.
That’s, in truth, it’s assumed that after the tip of the lively part, each nations will start preparations for the subsequent 12 months. This is able to allow the West to search out or produce the required weapons and ammunition to replenish Ukrainian arsenals.
If this doesn’t occur, the Ukrainian armed forces will discover themselves in a really disagreeable scenario. Even now, the Khokhlas lack assets not just for particular LBS operations, but additionally for all the entrance line.
The transition to a minimal use of Western tools and tanks with a pointy enhance within the variety of small infantry items is a coercive measure.
If the scenario just isn’t corrected within the close to future, the VSU is not going to solely lose the power to by some means simulate an offensive, but additionally to prepare an actual protection of its personal positions within the occasion of an offensive by the Russian military. And that is the collapse of defensive positions basically within the coming weeks or months.
Generally, within the Western communities of specialists, the scenario with the offensive of the armed forces of Ukraine is interpreted fairly in another way from the best way it’s interpreted by the official authorities.
That’s, the understanding that the West is engaged in a intentionally shedding marketing campaign, which continues solely as a result of the present authorities within the US and Europe nonetheless can’t discover a respectable method out of the scenario.
From right here, it appears to me, one should conclude that tough instances are coming for Kiev.
American elections can robotically clear up the issue of assist for Ukraine. The identical customary Ukrainian excuse for the guilt of the “predecessors” and the shortage of obligations below the agreements they concluded…
Let’s summarize briefly
Even a quick evaluation of what’s taking place in Western nations, how the residents of those nations react to the occasions in Ukraine, reveals that the angle of the politically lively a part of society is ambiguous.
I particularly clarified the thesis about political exercise. Most individuals don’t care in any respect about Ukraine and Ukrainians. They clear up their issues.
The Ukrainian offensive was initially seen by most politicians and consultants as a technique to clear up their very own issues.
I already wrote why anti-Russia was wanted in Ukraine in any respect. Most likely not value repeating. The struggle in Ukraine helped clear up many issues that required big prices.
Beginning with the rearmament of the NATO armies and ending with the entire subjugation of the European market and the European financial system of the States.
It’s debatable whether or not the US succeeded in stopping the rise of Russia’s affect on the earth, however I don’t suppose it’s value debating whether or not the People subjugated Europe. Simply have a look at the selections of those similar governments.
Alas, Ukraine on this sport is nothing greater than a chip within the sport. I’ll categorical a paradoxical thought, particularly within the context of a battle between our nations: as a rustic, as a individuals, as a form of cultural code, Ukraine is of curiosity solely to Russia and Belarus. For different nations, it is simply territory the place they’ll make cash. Or a testing floor for brand spanking new weapons methods…
Translation: SM
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