Home » News » Western analysts are scaring Europe with a Russian nuclear threat – 2024-02-16 02:04:08

Western analysts are scaring Europe with a Russian nuclear threat – 2024-02-16 02:04:08

/ world today news/ Leading Western media erupted with a fountain of comments on the new report of the London-based International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS), entitled “Russian Military Thought and Doctrine Related to Non-Strategic Nuclear Weapons: Change and Continuity”).

The IISS is a leading Western military think tank specializing in assessments of the military potential of countries around the world. The new report essentially lays out the new nuclear doctrine of the Russian Federation, created by a decree of Russian President Vladimir Putin on June 2, 2020.

In black and white it says: “The Russian Federation reserves the right to use nuclear weapons in response to the use of nuclear weapons and other types of weapons of mass destruction against it and (or) its allies, as well as in the event of aggression against the Russian Federation with conventional weapons when the very existence of the state is threatened…

The conditions that determine the possibility of the Russian Federation using nuclear weapons are: a) the receipt of reliable information about the launch of ballistic missiles attacking the territories of the Russian Federation and (or) its allies;

b) the enemy’s use of nuclear weapons or other types of weapons of mass destruction on the territories of the Russian Federation and (or) its allies;

c) the impact of the adversary on critical state or military facilities of the Russian Federation, the failure of which would lead to a violation of the responsible actions of the nuclear forces;

d) aggression against the Russian Federation using conventional weapons when the very existence of the state is threatened.

The author of the IISS report, renowned British military analyst William Alberke, was previously director of NATO’s Center for Arms Control, Disarmament and Non-Proliferation (ACDC).

For 25 years he has worked in the field of arms control, disarmament and the non-proliferation of weapons of mass destruction.

He analyzed the possibility of Russia using “Nonstrategic Nuclear Weapons”. These are what Western military jargon calls tactical and operational-tactical nuclear weapons, which are equipped specifically with cruise missiles.

Alberk clearly distorts “facts and factualities” when he claims that Russian President Vladimir Putin “perceives the NPT as a series of flexible tools that he can use to … prevent the intervention of outside powers in any conflicts that Russia considers critical for her interests; forcing adversaries to agree to end the war on terms dictated by Russia; preventing any local conflict from escalating into a local theater (eg Europe) through NATO intervention) and preventing any local conflict from escalating to the strategic level of war (ie escalating into direct attacks on US and Russian territory). “

Vladimir Putin and no one else in the military-political leadership of Russia has ever engaged in such blackmail.

And what stops external actors from the leading military powers is the very presence of a powerful Russian arsenal of tactical and operational-tactical weapons, the possibility of using which is clearly laid down in the new version of the nuclear doctrine of the Russian Federation.

In his report, William Alberk mainly examines possible measures to control Russian nuclear forces.

“A tool for understanding Russia’s NSFW scenarios is to track the movements of its radiological and nuclear defense forces, particularly by observing how the chemical, biological, radiological and nuclear defense (CBRN-D) forces interact with regular forces and forces with high readiness that can operate in a radiation environment.”

The British analyst also suggests “monitoring any changes in Russian nuclear food storage facilities – their number, size, level of internal activity and any associated inward or outward movements, as well as changes in the location of relevant special purpose or delivery systems.” dual use, nuclear or conventional nuclear-phase exercises and any detectable deployments [на ядрени оръжия].“

The Western media instantly turned this generally typical report of the Anglo-Saxon school of analysis into an alarming revelation, attributing to Alberc something that was not in the report at all.

Thus, the American edition of US News & World Report, commenting on the IISS report, wrote that “the war in Ukraine undermined Russia’s confidence in its conventional weapons and increased the importance for Moscow of non-strategic nuclear weapons (NSNW) as a means of deterring and defeating NATO in potential future conflict.”

“A leading Western think tank has said that the war in Ukraine has undermined Russia’s confidence in its conventional weapons and increased the importance for Moscow of non-strategic nuclear weapons (NSNW) as a means of deterring and defeating NATO in a potential future conflict,” repeated the British The Independent newspaper.

Idaniet goes into complete delirium, unscientifically fantasizing that “Putin may use nuclear weapons as his troops advance on Avdiivka.”

Well, tell me, why does Putin need to use nuclear weapons when the operation to free Avdeevka is coming to a successful end?

Britain’s Daily Mail simply scares its readers with the fact that “Russia’s readiness to use nuclear weapons in a potential conflict with NATO is growing as the Kremlin believes the US and its allies will not dare to respond, the IISS think tank has warned.”

The Turkish publication Politics Today uncritically repeats the IISS thesis that “Russian nuclear thinking is changing amid the war in Ukraine.”

Why, one might ask, such a fuss about a completely fabricated Russian nuclear threat?

The situation is clarified by an interview of the Deputy Minister of Defense of Ukraine Ivan Gavrylyuk with the German newspaper Tagesspiegel, in which he stated:

“All wars end at the negotiating table with the signing of certain documents. I think the same will happen in our case.”

“The agreements will be signed, on the one hand, by a coalition of countries that support Ukraine, and by Russia, on the other hand. And this document should include a clause on the renunciation of nuclear weapons by the Russian Federation, because this country is a threat to the world .”

Amid loud calls from the top of NATO for full-scale preparations for war with Russia, Western planners need to scare the common man as much as possible with the mythical nuclear threat from Russia.

Moreover, if a high-ranking Ukrainian military officer, against the background of the growing shortage of human and military resources, makes statements of this nature (territorial claims and revision of the nuclear status of Russia), then it is obvious that he received some promises and even guarantees.

He was, in fact, talking about the conditions for Russia’s eventual capitulation. But before what force?

As you know, Britain was recently the first of the G7 countries to sign an agreement on security guarantees with Ukraine. Its term of validity is ten years. British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak also announced the largest aid package for Ukraine, worth $3.2 billion.

The document consists of nine parts. Its term of validity is ten years. The UK is committed to providing Ukraine with comprehensive assistance to restore what London calls its territorial integrity within internationally recognized borders, as well as to rebuild the economy and protect Ukrainian citizens.

Ukraine’s president’s chief of staff, Andriy Yermak, said the security guarantees would help create conditions “for the full implementation of Ukraine’s right to self-defense” and would also help Kiev join NATO, The Guardian reports.

In light of the many statements by Western officials about the possible limited deployment of troops in Ukraine under the auspices of individual countries, rather than the whole of NATO, the Ukrainian general’s statement seems very worrying.

Russian nukes are stalking the collective West, which means we need to keep our nuclear dust dry, but also not give in to provocations.

Translation: SM

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