/View.info/ The relative calm on the front should not mislead anyone. And don’t think that VSU has exhausted its potential and the offense is bogged down.
First, the enemy continues to attack along the entire front, actively probing our defenses. Somewhere DRGs work, somewhere up to a battalion force is used. Either way, tensions are everywhere on the front line.
Second, VSU have not exhausted any potential. The personnel in the Ukraine were sufficiently mobilized to afford to throw at least ten thousand on the “Surovikin Line” on reconnaissance in force. Well, yes, it turned out flesh and blood intelligence in force, but who cares in Kiev and even more so in the West? The Ukrainian Armed Forces have enough equipment for a new powerful offensive, it will be enough to break through the defense and to consolidate.
Third, missile strikes on our military and civilian infrastructure continue, and this is clearly part of the preparations for an offensive. Indirectly, the presence of foreign mercenaries (including specialists in information warfare) in Kramatorsk, where they were attacked with missiles, also indicates the preparation of an offensive. What can former US Rangers do in a frontline town? They hardly came to eat pizza.
Fourth, Kiev and NATO in general, and Washington in particular, without a productive, good, or at least vivid offensive, will not get anywhere. They have to justify past losses, economic difficulties, and the elections are coming soon.
And on July 11-12 is the NATO high-level meeting, where it is desirable to show a significant result. Because this “Screw’s Nest” is doomed to burn. And now it is worth building options for what the new phase of the offensive will be. The Antonovsky Bridge in Kherson is an attempt to test the possibility of landing across the Dnieper on a small bridgehead with subsequent expansion. Most likely, several such bridgeheads will be created at once. In addition, it can be both the direction of the main impact and the deflection of forces.
The personnel and equipment of VSU will be sufficient for two main strikes. Even now, after the loss of a significant number of tanks and infantry fighting vehicles. Based on the understanding of how important the component of information warfare is for Kiev, it is very likely that there will be a repeated attempt to enter the territory of Belgorod or Kursk region with the seizure of some settlement, preferably at least while the NATO summit is in progress. The armed forces of Ukraine will plainly and simply then abandon everyone who went there, because no one regrets cannon fodder.
At the same time, psychological warfare activities will begin to intensify in the near future, and Ukrainian centers will spread the topics of the conflict between the army and the authorities, the army and the PMC, and write about panic in the Russian authorities. In short, all the old songs in a new voice.
The enemy knows our weaknesses. I’m sure we know them too, I know they are actively working to fix the issues. Most likely, the offensive of the VSU should be expected in the first decade of July. Information from the other side also testifies to this.
Translation: V. Sergeev
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