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Virona Streeck’s second wave Corona forecast turns everything upside down

Virologist Hendrik Streeck whirls everything up with a forecast. So it could go on with the treacherous corona virus in Germany.

Munich – Summer is the most sociable time of the year. The climbing temperatures invite you to take part in outdoor activities such as Barbecue evenings or swimming trips. Under the influence of the Corona crisis, however, all of this will look different this time. Keep distance is the order of the hour. It will be a very hard summer to get used to – although tourists are welcome in many places and most of them National borders to be crossed allowed to.

Nevertheless: crowded beaches and packed hotels or campsites? Not in this Summer vacation*. Eventually it will because of the SARS-CoV-2 virus, which has not yet been fully researched give numerous restrictions. All the measures decided in the past few weeks are finally accompanied by fear, one to kick off the second wave of infectionthat could also push proven health systems like that to the borders in Germany.

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Virologist Streeck on Corona future in Germany: probably fewer transmissions in summer

It is good if one of the leading experts in the field of virology classifies the omnipresent threat. Hendrik Streeck has the in an interview with the General-Anzeiger done and comes to the conclusion: “One wave means yes that overwhelms you a little. I don’t think we’ll see such a phenomenon. “

The 42-year-old assumes that we are Weeks of corona relaxation forthcoming: “Incidentally, I also assume that we are going to summer lower transfers see. This is shown by the view of the southern hemisphere. ”So for the states that are heading towards their winter, Streeck sums up:“ In Australia until recently we saw that only 20 percent of the transmissions were acquired domestically, 80 percent abroad. That is changing. Also South America is becoming a high epidemic area. “

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Virologist Streeck: Warm weather complicates the spread of corona viruses

The weather plays a role here. Called: According to Streeck corona viruses, higher temperatures make it difficult to spread – That applies not only to the new species that is currently making life difficult for people around the world. At the same time, the native of Göttingen also warns: “I think we see more infections in autumn will.”

Overall, however, the following applies: “I think what is much more likely is no second wave at all. But we will always, as we see it now, Hotspot outbreaks see. Maybe 100 people who were infected at once and did not notice it. ”For this reason too, he is certain that we will react a life with SARS-CoV-2 have to adjust.

Virologist Streeck: Corona researchers are looking for immune responses to viruses

This is also what the research* from. “We are currently working a lot here in the laboratory and trying them Immune responses to the virus to understand better, ie which immune responses are effective against the virus and which are not, ”Streeck explains in General indicator. So the general question is “how and whether people are protected after SARS-CoV-2 infection”.

The so-called Heinsberg study Afford. In this was a team around Streeck’s Unreported went to the bottom of the first German corona hotspot near the Dutch border. It should reveal how many people unconsciously suffered from Covid-19 and a corresponding one immunity* superstructures.

Former Corona crisis region: A hotspot for the pandemic developed early on in Heinsberg in North Rhine-Westphalia.

© dpa / Jonas Güttler

Corona expert Streeck defends itself: “Heinsberg study was well received abroad”

The encouraging result was subsequently viewed very critically by the public, which Streeck does not want to leave behind: “The study holds up perfectly with experts and finds it worldwide attention. This fact counts. ”He also made it clear:“ The study was well received abroad, in the USA and in European countries is already included in meta-analyzes. “

The Heinsberg study was also a win for his reputation: “I am the virologist who has seen most of the patients with Covid-19. So I learned that Better assess the virus. ”Consequently, he would now“ give neither warning nor all-clear ”.

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Virologist Streeck on Corona future: No interference in decisions about easing

Streeck does not want to interfere with questions about easing: “Die Decision to normalcy is one that has meanwhile completely moved away from virology. “Only the people who have been chosen to make such decisions and be able to weigh up all aspects are responsible for this. So the politicians.

With the impressions and conclusions of the virologist from the University of Bonn, however, this should be easier. Streeck’s tip: “With this virus you have to start thinking about how we can live with it and also to design strategies in this sense. Socially, the best and fairest strategy is to look at what our intensive capacities are because we want everyone to benefit from the best possible care. “

There was a massive corona outbreak in Göttingen – around 160 people are in quarantine, including 57 children and adolescents.

Virologist Streeck on Corona future: “The best parameter is intensive care beds”

If the virus were contained, it would rather move away from Look at the R value, so the Number of reproductions*. Because this is a “hypothetical value, which is extremely dependent on how much is tested ”. Instead, Streeck demands to focus on the hardship cases: “The best parameter is the intensive care bedsbecause that’s what it’s all about in the end. ”That applies to every season.

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*merkur.de is part of the nationwide Ippen-Digital editors network.

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List of rubric lists: © dpa / Federico Gambarini

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