“Ukraine’s Kursk offensive continues to dominate headlines – I am attaching a map showing the current situation. Last night the Ukrainians reportedly advanced somewhat further west of their initial strike through the forest belts (I doubt if this actually happened) while most of today they tried to attack along the highway northwest towards the town of Korenevo and worked around the town of Suja to the east to attack it from its south wing. The former was a failure, while the latter saw some success — albeit with the former threatening a breakthrough and the latter a ‘bypass to nowhere’ along the border,” writes military analyst Tyler Weaver, known as the Armchair Warlord on the X Network.
Afternoon Ukraine update!
The Ukrainian Hail-Mary offensive into Kursk is still dominating the headlines – I’ve attached a Sofa General Staff* map showing the current situation. Last night the Ukrainians reportedly advanced somewhat to the west of their initial stab through… pic.twitter.com/GVUJvxHYQJ— Armchair Warlord (@ArmchairW) August 8, 2024
Weaver also attached a clear map to describe the situation.
According to Weaver, such an attack does not make much sense. “Tuplem, if your big offensive hinges on the first major city five kilometers into enemy territory, you’re probably not going to get anywhere fast. The Ukrainians clearly intended to launch a dramatic, fast attack in the hope of breaking through and disrupting the Russian defenders in depth – sending troops in large, exposed columns to move as quickly as possible – and that just didn’t happen. And in this kind of battle, time is the most valuable commodity of all. Every minute that passes without a breakthrough is another minute in which defensive reinforcements can converge and defensive fire can engage exposed attack columns,” he says.
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“The Russians have used an approach reminiscent of the US military’s 1980s air-ground battle to disrupt the Ukrainian offensive while reinforcements are converging, and are making heavy use of aircraft and tactical missiles to strike second-echelon elements forming in Sumy while highly mobile attack helicopters engage maneuvering enemy concentrations further ahead. This has so far prevented a breakthrough by Russian forces covering the border while the main elements are being deployed. You can also notice on the map that the Russian troops in the area seem to be trying to keep the Ukrainian army off the main road network – it’s much harder to move quickly over the terrain, dashing over hills and valleys, than speeding down a paved road,” he adds.
The surprising and rapid breakthrough of the Ukrainian army into Russian territory is also noticed by the author of the popular account OSINT Technical, which specializes in the analysis of videos and other materials from the battlefield. “Early yesterday morning, a large-scale Ukrainian mechanized offensive was launched and is advancing into Russia’s Kursk region. According to maps published today by Russian sources, Ukrainian forces have advanced almost 20 kilometers into Russian territory,” he informs.
A sizeable multi-brigade Ukrainian mechanized offensive launched early yesterday, advancing into Russia’s Kursk Oblast.
Maps posted by Russian sources today indicate Ukrainian forces have pushed nearly 20 kilometers into Russian territory. pic.twitter.com/XQ12z59Ihd
— OSINTtechnical (@Osinttechnical) August 7, 2024
“Ukrainian forces have seized a large area adjacent to the border and are constantly pushing more than 10 km into Russian lines. There is fighting in the cities of Koreněvo and Suža,” he states in another report. From the available footage, it can be concluded that some Russian units have surrendered to the Ukrainian offensive forces.
At least one Russian company-sized formation surrendered to Ukrainian forces. pic.twitter.com/4BwpjzyaVc
— OSINTtechnical (@Osinttechnical) August 7, 2024
According to Anton Gerashchenko, a former deputy of the Ukrainian Ministry of Internal Affairs, there is a discrepancy between what the chief of the Russian General Staff, Valery Gerasimov, reported to Russian President Vladimir Putin about the situation on the battlefield, and what Russian war correspondents say about the state of the fighting directly from the ground. “Suzha is under Ukrainian control, the enemy is actively maneuvering and increasing reserves,” the correspondents are supposed to report, while Gerasimov informed Putin in a teleconference yesterday that the enemy’s advance in the direction of Kursk had been stopped. Gerashchenko also pulls from established twists such as “special military operation” and “Kiev in three days”.
“Sudzha is under Ukrainian control, the enemy is actively maneuvering and bringing up reserves,” – Russian “war correspondens” report the situation in Russia’s Kursk region. Their reports do not line up with Gerasimov’s stories.
Here is what they write:
“…Sudzha is still… pic.twitter.com/WblCH9Fgkx
— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) August 8, 2024
Gerashchenko also adds fresh video from a military drone purportedly showing Russian soldiers surrendering to Ukrainian ones. The footage shows how they are then being prepared for departure in a truck. Information about the capture of the first Russian group was given by a fighter nicknamed Osman, the commander of the 24th unit of the Ajdar separate assault brigade.
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