In the polls the balance between the two candidates reigns
There are now two weeks left until Election Day on November 5th and total uncertainty reigns over the outcome of the presidential elections in the United States. In this intense election year we have witnessed several crucial moments that have made the race for the White House different from previous ones. We have witnessed the judicial events of Republican candidate Donald Trump, among which the maxi trial in New York stands out, which saw the first guilty verdict against a former president. A sentence which, however, did not weaken the popularity of the tycoon, who strengthened his consensus every time Biden made unforgivable mistakes. The current president’s final point was when during the NATO summit in Washington he introduced Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky as “President Putin”.
In the following weeks, the pressure from the Democrats towards Biden intensified more and more, until the president was forced to announce his withdrawal from the race for re-election, giving his endorsement to Kamala Harris. And so while Trump was welcomed as a hero in the Republican convention after surviving the Butler attack in Pennsylvania, the current vice president brought new life among the Democrats, initially trailing Trump in the polls.
Once the initial momentum is over, due to the novelty of taking to the field, Kamala Harris has to deal with margins of advantage in the polls which are now downsized, in a context in which balance and anguish over the conflicts in the Middle East reign and in Ukraine, accompanied by the fear of further attacks, as happened on Capitol Hill on January 6, 2021. The only certainty is that the outcome of the vote will once again depend on the seven states in the balance: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Nevada, Arizona, North Carolina and Georgia.
USA 2024, Democrats in difficulty over Ukraine and the Middle East: lapses in style for Trump
Despite the killing of Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar, the conflict in the Middle East continues unchallenged, with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu having no interest in ending the war. The climate of tension on the battlefields was also echoed overseas.
The peak in this sense occurred when Netanyahu was invited to make a speech to the United States Congress in Washington. That day the largest pro-Palestine demonstration since the beginning of the war was held, an unprecedented gathering that saw demonstrators literally razing the US capital to the ground, giving rise to heated clashes with the police and arrests.
Meanwhile, in what was his last rally in Pennsylvania, Trump exceeded the limits of vulgarity, calling Harris “a shitty vice president”. A phrase which, according to the American press, fuels hypotheses of the tycoon’s mental instability. In such a complex picture, it is really difficult to know what will happen in the next 14 days. There will be no room for other debates and so after a year characterized by tensions, rallies, primaries and conventions the moment of truth is now upon us.
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