US media estimates that Trump has won at least 270 electoral votes to secure victory in the 2024 presidential election | Donald Trump | Republican Party | United States_NetEase News

(Original title: US media estimates that Trump has won at least 270 electoral votes to secure victory in the 2024 presidential election)

Data map of Trump locking in victory in 2024 presidential election

The Associated Press reported on November 6 that US media calculated that Republican presidential candidate Trump had won at least 270 electoral votes. The U.S. presidential election adopts the Electoral College system. The 50 states allocate electoral votes in proportion to their population. Winner is determined by obtaining at least 270 of the 538 electoral votes.

Further reading:

American voters: I support Trump if I must choose, but I don’t want to vote for anyone

[Text/Mike Tracy, Translator/Observer.com Guo Han]

A common misconception about “undecided voters” is that they overwhelmingly want to wait until the last minute to make a spur-of-the-moment choice between two major party candidates, this year’s choice being former President Donald Trump. Trump with Vice President Kamala Harris. A subset of these voters does exist – no matter what information you can glean in internet comment sections. However, at least from my recent interactions around Pennsylvania, the standard “undecided voters” are more likely to be those who are on the fence about whether to vote.

Sergio Martinez, an Amazon warehouse worker in Bethlehem, Pennsylvania, said: “My confusion is, if I go to vote, what will it change? What difference does it make whether I vote or not? No matter what. , they (politicians) will do what they want to do.”

After a little questioning, Martinez came across as someone who could be persuaded to vote for Trump. He described Harris as “seemingly lying all the time” and cited a series of economic achievements during Trump’s first term. But even if he has a negative impression of Harris and prefers Trump to a certain extent, Martinez still believes that voting is a waste of time.

He represents a large swath of unimpressed potential Republican voters who are more inclined to support Trump but lack sufficient motivation to actually vote for him.

Screenshot of a video from a voting site during the US election

Jesse, a 25-year-old hotel worker from Phoenixville, Pennsylvania, said: “I don’t believe in the system at all. If I didn’t know that the voting process is a meaningless thing, but I do understand this, maybe I would Will choose Trump. The atmosphere of liberal opinion in the media is really annoying.”

Jesse, who declined to give his last name, is perhaps the poster child for the “low-vote” voter a capable Republican worker might be working overtime to do his job: a young man tired of being single-minded. The liberal lifestyle characterized by culture is seeking an alternative. But Jesse said he’s unlikely to vote this week.

“I have no complaints about Trump’s last term – I thought he did OK then, but I really don’t know who is doing what this year. I can’t keep up with the latest situation.” From Bin Farah Washington, who was shopping at Walmart with her 9-year-old son in Norristown, said, “If I had to choose, I would support Trump.”

Ms. Washington thinks Kamala Harris is “hilarious,” especially how she got to her current position. But Washington said she might not vote. Apparently another potential Trump voter slipped through the cracks.

I interviewed Raheem Moody in a mall in King of Prussia. He said he had voted for Obama and Hillary, but this time, he had no intention of voting at all.

“Honestly, I don’t see a real difference to me or my community whoever is elected president.” But when asked whether he had to make a choice, Moody said he would support Trump. . “I do think a lot of what the American media is saying right now is just a tactic to scare people.”

A related but distinct category of “undecided voters” are those who are tired of endless political ads and simply want to tune out the noise.

At a sandwich shop in Nazareth, Pa., an employee told me how angry she was at being inundated with emails and ads every day that made her resist her decision to vote. She just didn’t want to deal with it at all.

Harris’ messaging during the campaign sprint was clearly not designed to appeal to this particular demographic. A recent Gallup poll found that 71% of Americans are “dissatisfied with the current state of the country.” This will obviously cause problems for the ruling party’s candidates, and Harris has largely tried to deflect the topic, such as her choice to march with former Republican congressman Liz Cheney, in an attempt to win over those who are anti-Trump and politically engaged. Republican voters who are high and follow the news.

On the evening of the 4th local time, US Vice President and Democratic presidential candidate Harris canvassed for votes in front of a resident’s home in Reading, Pennsylvania. Screenshot of the video

Trump has also been unsuccessful in striking deals with his apparently broader base of potential voters. These people have expressed some sympathy for Trump, but no one has yet been able to convince them enough that voting will advance their interests or even that voting will make any difference at all. At least based on my own observations, relatively few potential Harris supporters need extra motivation to vote—largely because, in their eyes, antipathy toward Trump has become a decisive motivator.

However, concerns about the process of this US election can be seen almost everywhere. Pennsylvania is the “ground zero” that both parties have relentlessly launched a propaganda campaign and are determined to win.

That’s what canvassers were saying last weekend across Pennsylvania, rallying support for candidates from both parties. Many said they encountered hostility on voters’ doorsteps, not necessarily toward a particular candidate but toward the endless door-knocking itself. Turn on a Pennsylvania news station now and you’ll see as many as five political ads running back-to-back. It is clear that in the final days before this US election, no other commercials can occupy the TV screen except bipartisan political propaganda backed by billionaires.

These “undecided voters” are neither crazy, nor stupid, nor necessarily even politically apathetic. Instead, they rationally chose not to support either party, were fundamentally skeptical of both candidates, and had misgivings about the entire electoral process. Although some people fanatically encourage them to vote as if it is some kind of “sacrosanct moral obligation”, a large proportion of them, especially those from lower-middle-class backgrounds, do not regard voting as a grand undertaking at all. , an urgent matter in an abstract sense; they regard voting more as a troublesome or offensive thing, something they may be willing to do, may not be willing to do, or may be reluctant to do.