Home » Business » US GDP revised to 3.2% in July-September

US GDP revised to 3.2% in July-September

US July-September (Q3) real gross domestic product (GDP) figures have been revised upwards. Private consumption and corporate capital investment outperformed.

Key point
  • July-September real GDP increased by 3.2% year on year
    • The median forecast by economists in a Bloomberg poll was for a 2.9% increase.
    • Revised upwards from revised value (+2.9%)
    • Decreased 0.6% in April-June (Q2)

Final data for private consumption increased by 2.3%, a significant upward revision from the revised data (1.7% increase). This reflects heavy spending on services.

The latest GDP data shows that consumer and business demand remains strong despite rising interest rates and high inflation. A strong job market and wage growth have supported household spending, but it is unclear whether this spending momentum can be sustained in the coming year.

The July-September Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index was revised slightly upwards from its revised value, with core excluding food and energy rising 4.7% annually.

Gross Domestic Income (GDI), another key indicator, increased by 0.8%. The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) committee that dates business cycles uses the average of GDP and GDI to tag recessions. The average increased by 2% in the July-September quarter.

See table for detailed statistics.

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