With the two US presidential candidates Kamala Harris and Donald Trump preparing to close their campaign activities later in the week, the battle is now reminiscent of a mud fight and the uncertainty of the outcome on the big night of November 5 is more intense than ever. in the United States as well as in the rest of the world from Europe to Asia.
As the election days approach, Trump may have managed to reverse the lead his opponent had after President Joe Biden dropped out of the race, but he is under fire from all over. Last week the word “fascist” that accompanied him as a description even before his first term is now central to the political debate. Harris herself openly called him a “fascist” just before… friendly fire from his former close associates. Former White House chief of staff under Trump John Kelly stands out, who stated that Trump fits the description of a fascist, since if he were allowed to, he would rule like a dictator.
New complaint
In addition, at the last minute before the polls another sexual assault complaint against him came to light, even implicating him with the deceased tycoon and convicted serial rapist and trafficker for the elite Jeffrey Epstein. Also, just a few days ago, the judge examining his intervention to change the result of the 2020 elections made public excerpts of the case file that burn him. For his part, Trump, who now appears to be leading Harris by a narrow margin both nationally and in most of the seven swing states and now also among Latinos, is known to respond with a more toxic tone to the attacks. In his last gatherings, he now openly curses his opponent with sidewalk language and succeeds against everyone.
At the same time, the pre-election battle for the heart of the USA, which is the workers in the key states – it seems that Trump is winning them by answering their needs for the economy and immigration – is culminating with the two candidates now focusing on a subgroup of the states those in which the differences between them are extremely small, namely in Arizona, Nevada and Georgia. Analysts have concluded based on the developments in the rest that these will decide the result and it seems that Trump is ahead in all three.
The polls
Overall, according to a CNBC poll in key states overall, he leads by one percentage point, with 48% to Harris’ 47%.
According to the generally reliable statistician Nate Silver and the 538 pollster, Trump maintains a better chance than his opponent of winning the Electoral College. Silver’s latest forecast gave Trump a 53.1 percent chance of winning the Electoral College vote to Harris’ 46.6 percent. It also showed Harris leading by 1.6 percentage points nationally, with a 73% chance of winning the popular vote to Trump’s 28%. For one candidate to win the electoral vote and be elected president while his running mate has a higher number of votes has happened in 2000 with George W. Bush and with Trump against Hillary Clinton in 2016. In fact, RealClearPolitics predicts Trump to win all key states, giving him 312 electoral votes to Harris’ 227.
In any case, campaigns and staffs are gearing up for the close of the election season, as evidenced by the communications moves of Trump serving McDonald’s and Obama rapping Eminem for Harris.
!function(f,b,e,v,n,t,s)
{if(f.fbq)return;n=f.fbq=function(){n.callMethod?
n.callMethod.apply(n,arguments):n.queue.push(arguments)};
if(!f._fbq)f._fbq=n;n.push=n;n.loaded=!0;n.version=’2.0′;
n.queue=[];t=b.createElement(e);t.async=!0;
t.src=v;s=b.getElementsByTagName(e)[0];
s.parentNode.insertBefore(t,s)}(window, document,’script’,
‘
fbq(‘init’, ‘726515947549353’);
fbq(‘track’, ‘PageView’);
#elections #Trump #recovers #final #stretch #president #ahead #Kamala #Harris
