US elections. Trump’s slight advantage in Texas
2.6 percentage points – this is the advantage of the incumbent US president in the average Texas polls according to RealClearPolitics.
However, not all studies grant the Republican victory in this state in the South of the USA. A poll released Sunday by The Dallas Morning News and the University of Texas at Austin shows that Biden is three percentage points ahead. In a survey of these centers in September, the Democrat lost two percentage points.
A poll for The Dallas Morning News shows Trump’s problems in Texas among independent and Latin voters. In the former group, Biden leads 51 to 29% in comparison with the host of the White House, in the latter 69 to 21%.
US elections. A changing Republican stronghold
Democrats hope that a changing demographics will contribute to their electoral victory in the 39 electoral state. The Latin American community is emerging in Texas. In addition, the low-taxing state has in recent years become a popular place of residence for people coming from the north and California.
It may also work in favor of the Democrat that the coronavirus epidemic has become the main campaign theme in Texas, notes The Hill website. Currently 45 percent. the residents of the state do not trust Trump in this respect; in September – before the infection was detected by the president – it was 32 percent.
Democrats also have hopes of massive early voting in the elections. According to research, the electorate of this party is much more mobilized than the Republicans to fulfill its civic duty in this way. In terms of early voting, Texas is breaking records – five days before the end of this vote, over 7.1 million ballot papers have already been returned, which is 79.9 percent. the final turnout in this state from the 2016 elections.
US elections. The Beginning of the End of Republican Domination in Texas?
A warning light for the Republicans in Texas was the 2018 competition for the senatorial seat. Republican Ted Cruz then beat Democrat Beto O’Rourke by just over 2.5 percentage points. Six years earlier, the conservative senator won by 16 percentage points.
The Dallas Morning News poll was conducted ahead of the second presidential debate on Thursday. In it, Biden declared that he intended to “put an end to the oil industry,” which Trump now reminds at his rallies. According to estimates, this industry accounts for about 10 percent of Texas’ GDP.
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