Las United States presidential election They approach and after a week of the first debate between Donald Trump y Kamala Harristhe latest surveys show greater support for the Democratic candidate, in terms of her performance in the meeting. However, political analysts ask to wait to see if the recent confrontation in Philadelphia will modify the results of the next November 5thExperts are also wondering whether the alleged new assassination attempt on the Republican could have an impact on voters.
The update of FiveThirtyEight al September 16thwhich shows the average of each candidate in terms of polls at the national level, shows the vice president in the lead, with a 48% of the preference, against 45.4% of the businessman. Los Latest data that were taken by the site are from surveys conducted between the 11th and 13th of this month.
Harris is ahead in national polling averages with a total of 48%, while Trump has 45.4%.FiveThirtyEight
The chain ABCin a joint investigation with Langer Research Associates and Ipsos, took a sample of 3,276 adults with whom it was concluded that “Harris strengthened part of his personal appeal”. Respondents favored the Democrat, with 37% saying they viewed her more favorably. While, in a ratio of almost 2 to 1, they indicated that The debate made them view the former president less favorably.
Likewise, 58% thought that The vice president won the debate. The survey also revealed a slight drop compared to the Trump supporterswho strongly support himthe Republican won 56%, compared to 60% in a poll by the same network in late August. By contrast, 62% of the Democrat’s supporters now strongly support her.
As for voting preferences, there were no significant changes, they say. The survey showed that The race is 51-46%, with the tilt in favor of Harrisamong all adults; 51-47% among registered voters; and 52-46% among likely voters. The vice president also leads the Republican among women, while they are virtually tied among men, and by just nine points among 18- to 29-year-olds.
When it comes to debate performance, polls show Harris as the winner SAUL LOEB – AFP
In other groups, Trump has a 12-point lead among American voterswhich rises to 28 among those without a four-year college degree. Among veterans, the former president also leads his rival by 29 points, with 63% of support, against 34% for the Democrat. Likewise, the businessman remains closer than usual to Harris among Hispanics, and is 17 points behind of her among likely voters.
As for the Topics of importance to Americans: the economy and inflation remain the front-runners, with the former president leading by seven points in confidence to handle each. The vice president, meanwhile, has a preference, also seven points, for “protecting American democracy” and nine points for handling health care.
Regarding the Immigration, Trump maintains a ten-point advantage in confidence to handle the issue. While Harris leads her rival by 14 points on the issue of abortion and by 16 points in the treatment of the race relationsalthough the latter have a minor importance in the results of the upcoming elections.
Former President Donald Trump maintains a lead in the polls on immigration Alex Brandon – AP
A new survey by Data for Progresscarried out between September 12 and 13, shows that Harris leads Trump by four points (50%-46%) in the presidential race, and voters see her more as the “candidate of the future.” In addition, respondents noted that she is “more honest, intelligent and calm than Trump.” As for the meeting in Philadelphia, 56% said the vice president woncompared to 37% for the Republican.
The poll also examined reactions to the debate, including how a majority found the former president’s statement about Immigrants who eat petss. 52% said they had heard “a lot” about this statement and when asked if it was “strange or normal”, The vast majority said it was “something strange”including 91% of Democrats, 77% of independents, and 69% of Republicans.
On issues important to voters, Trump has a five-point lead on inflation up, but Harris beats him on jobs and economy by two pointsThe former president also showed a preference in this poll on immigration, while the vice president has the advantage on the issue of abortion, programs such as Social Security and Medicare.
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