Kamala Harris made a very strong appearance in the debate on Tuesday night, managing to prevail against the former president, Donald Trump. The current Vice President of the USA made herself a favorite in the race, which was also noticed in the betting markets. The fact is also confirmed by Forbes.
According to the election odds tracker, which aggregates betting numbers from four separate markets, bookies now believe that the Democratic candidate has a 51.8% chance of winning against 46.9% of the former president.
This is a significant weight shift in her favor. Her odds of winning, however, increased by more than four and a half points in the last 24 points. Accordingly, Trump’s points fell by four.
Bettors on crypto-based platform Polymarket believe that both Kamala Harris and her opponent they have a 49% chance of winning. It is noted that in the said company, in the last two weeks, they have largely favored the victory of the Republican candidate.
Meanwhile, on UK betting site Smarkets, punters are predicting that the Vice President now has a 51.55% chance of winningup from 47.5% the previous week. On the other hand, Mr Donald Trump has a 46.3% chance.
Finally, in Predictlt, the Kamala Harris extended her lead and now has odds worth 56 cents. These probabilities correspond to 56%. THE former president now collects 47 cents. On this particular platform, already last week the Vice-President had a significant difference ahead of her opponent.
The “surprise” in the betting for Harris and Trump
Despite the fact that the bookmakers believe that the election is quite close, the players wisely consider that Kamala Harris emerged as the winner of the debate.
At the same time, Polymarket players are betting that the Democratic candidate has a 98% chance of leading in the next polls after the debate.
The result
Indeed, as it seems Kamala Harris has a 2.7% lead in national pollsover Donald Trump, according to FiveThirtyEight’s weighted average.
The deviation
Predictlt, unlike other betting companies, only allows participation by US residents who are 18 years of age or older. Earlier this year, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) proposed banning all bets related to the US election.
The agency’s proposal came after the platform was sued for trying to block the presidential race from accepting bets, which it previously allowed.
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