Nobody knows for sure who wrote it, when it was written or if it is true. But a screenshot of a four-paragraph document detailing China’s plans to get out of its “zero crown” policy was enough to spur traders to buy Chinese stocks, pushing the shares higher for two days.
The unconfirmed post is a black on white document with no signs indicating its origin. More than a dozen investors, who requested anonymity, said it started circulating on a WeChat group full of analysts and fund managers on the night of October 31 and spread like wildfire the next morning.
The screenshot shows that Politburo Standing Committee member Wang Huning, who is fourth in the Chinese Communist Party hierarchy, held a meeting with coronavirus experts on the 30th of the same month at the request of President Xi Jinping. Mr. Xi is written as “Big Boss” and Mr. Wang as “WHN”, and there are also some ingenuity to avoid censorship. Posts and messages on social media about China’s political elite are strictly controlled.
The meeting was also attended by members from sectors such as economics and propaganda and was reportedly discussed to “accelerate the formulation of a conditional deregulation plan with the aim of a substantial opening by March next year” .
China’s National Health Commission at the end of Thursday called for strict adherence to its zero-crown policy. However, traders’ enthusiasm did not cool and the US-listed Chinese equity index continued to rise.
Chinese equities have performed among the worst in the world so far this year, as China’s economic growth slows to near a 40-year low. Now that Mr. Xi has solidified an important position in the party with his inner circle, expectations are high that the economic stimulus will come out at the National People’s Congress in March next year.
“It’s not an overnight decision,” said Hong Lien, partner of Glow Investment Group. “It has to be done through careful consideration and communication, which is why many of us believe that after the PNA and the People’s Political Consultative Conference in March is the right time to reopen the economy,” she said.
China has publicly remained silent on rumors of a zero-covid-19 exit, with state media completely silent for the past two days. A foreign ministry spokesman said in a regular press conference on Wednesday that he was unaware of the rumors. No questions on the matter were listed in the official interview transcript.
More speculation helped the stock climb Thursday. A Twitter user who goes by the name “Shanghai Macro Strategist” posted a screenshot claiming to be the viewpoint of two Chinese intermediaries who claim that China is on the verge of changing its coronavirus policy. The user declined to comment further on Bloomberg News.
One of the screenshots is said to be Haitong Securities’ view that a meeting will be held on the 4th to discuss easing quarantine requirements. The company told Bloomberg News in an email that the description in the screenshot was not genuine.
Original title:How a mysterious screenshot of China spurred a $ 450 billion rally (1)(extract)