The future of the governor Gavin Newsom at the helm of the Golden State has never been so uncertain. Two weeks away from a referendum where Californian voters will have to confirm or dismiss the elected Democrat, the gap in the polls is narrowing between pro and anti-Newsom. According to the average calculated by the site FiveThirtyEight, 48.8% of voters would reject the impeachment of the governor, while 47.6% would vote in favor of his dismissal.
A climate skeptic in ambush
A very small gap, less linked to Newsom’s unpopularity than to the hypermobilization of the conservative camp deeply hostile to the Democrat, to whom they blame his elitism
, and a management tyrannical
the Covid-19 epidemic. According to the channel CBS, 72% of Republicans say they are very motivated
to vote, against 61% of Democrats. For analysts, the apathy of the progressive camp can be explained in part by the fact that the predominantly Democratic Latin and African American electorates are distracted
by the rebound of the Covid-19, which affects these communities disproportionately.
If he was dismissed, Newsom would give way to the candidate for his replacement who obtained the most votes: however, it is the radio host trumpists Larry Elder who leads the polls, far ahead of the Republican establishment candidate John Cox. The election of this climate skeptic, opposed to the concept of minimum wage and to gun control, would be a real earthquake for California, a Democratic stronghold which had voted 62% of Gavin Newsom three years ago.
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