Population surge under immigration?Scholars analyze the mysteries
The Census and Statistics Department of the Hong Kong Government recently announced the mid-year population figures. Under the immigration wave, Hong Kong’s population has risen instead of falling, which has aroused doubts from the outside world. Some scholars and commentators pointed out in a timely manner that the mystery lies in the statistical method of “floating residents”.
On the 15th, the Census and Statistics Department of the Hong Kong Government announced the provisional population figures for mid-year 2023, saying that the population of Hong Kong has reached 7.498 million, an increase of 152,000 year-on-year, including more than 50,000 “permanent residents”, that is, within six months before and after the statistical time point , Hong Kong residents who have stayed in Hong Kong for at least three months, non-permanent residents who happened to be in Hong Kong at the time of the statistics, and more than 90,000 “mobile residents”, that is, Hong Kong permanent residents who have stayed in Hong Kong for more than 1 month but less than 3 months.
Under the double attack of the immigration wave and the decline in the birth rate, this population increase has almost recovered all the lost population in the past few years, which immediately aroused the outside world’s suspicion of “fake” and “watery” data.
Liang Qizhi, a scholar who specializes in urban geography and once taught at the University of Hong Kong and the Chinese University of Hong Kong, said on social platforms on the 16th that the floating population accounted for more than 90,000 of the population growth of 152,000. With reference to the figures of the Hong Kong Immigration Department, there was a net emigration of 347,000 Hong Kong residents (counting all ports) during the same period. The gap between the two mainly comes from “floating residents”.
Liang Qizhi analyzed that after the end of the CCP virus (new crown) epidemic, a large number of Hong Kong residents living abroad returned to Hong Kong to visit relatives. For the Immigration Department, if Hong Kong people come back one month later and then leave, the net inflow or outflow contribution is 0; but for the Census and Statistics Department, it contributes +1 population growth. If this number is large enough, it can offset the real immigration wave and form the illusion of population growth.
Current commentator Feng Xiqian also said on Facebook on the 17th that the number of “floating residents” in Hong Kong in the middle of this year reached 248,700, the highest number in the past 12 years, an increase of nearly 100,000 from the middle of last year. The “mystery” lies in ” Migrant residents” this detail.
For example, he said that he knew several people who immigrated and were classified as “floating residents”. They return to Hong Kong not to visit relatives, but to deal with some important matters. As long as they stay in Hong Kong for more than one month, they are considered “mobile residents”. The Hong Kong government will not regard those who immigrate to the UK as BNOs at all. As long as they return to Hong Kong for a sufficient number of days, even if they are not in Hong Kong for more than 9 months, they are part of the “Hong Kong population”.
Feng Xiqian ridiculed it. It can be seen that it is not difficult for the Hong Kong government to estimate the population figure high, and there is no need to fake it. As long as the definition is fine-tuned, the threshold is further lowered, and permanent residents who have stayed in Hong Kong for more than two weeks are all regarded as “floating population”, the numbers will be even better and the population will become denser.
According to news reports from online media, entry and exit records in the first half of this year show that the number of Hong Kong residents leaving Hong Kong via the Hong Kong airport and various ports is far greater than the number of arrivals, with a net emigration of more than 250,000 people. Among them, the net immigration of Hong Kong residents through the airport in the first two months of this year exceeded 78,000, reflecting that many people returned to Hong Kong immediately after the relaxation of epidemic prevention measures. However, net immigration has been recorded for three consecutive months from May to July. Hong Kong Airport It also recorded a net emigration of more than 120,000 Hong Kong residents, reflecting that the immigration wave is far from over.
The schedule of the most expensive Hong Kong-produced film is announced
The movie “Goldfinger” starring Tony Leung, Andy Lau, and Charlene Choi was announced on the 17th and will be released simultaneously in Hong Kong, Macau, Singapore, Malaysia, Taiwan, Australia, New Zealand, the United Kingdom, the United States, Canada and other places around the world on December 30. .
“Goldfinger” is directed and written by Zhuang Wenqiang. It is Tony Leung and Andy Lau who have collaborated again after nearly 20 years since the “Infernal Affairs” series.
In the new poster released by “Gold Finger”, Cheng Yiyan, played by Tony Leung, sits on top of money with an attitude of looking down on all sentient beings, while Liu Qiyuan, played by Andy Lau, is solemn and firm, trying to overlook the truth in the money puzzle. The trailer starts with “100”, leading to a legend of “earning 10 billion with 100 yuan”.
The film is adapted from the sensational Carrian corruption case in Hong Kong in the 1980s. It revolves around the Carrian Group and its senior management, and involves banks outside Hong Kong. ICAC officers launched an investigation across eight countries to investigate the case. Produced by Emperor Films and Maoyan Films, the film cost up to HK$350 million, making it the most expensive Hong Kong-produced film ever. The main actors are Ren Dahua, Fang Zhongxin, Zhou Jiayi, Taibao, Chen Jiale, Jiang Haowen and Bai Zhi.
National Sanctions Rally, 2 People Convicted of Rioting, 1 Released in Court
On January 19, 2020, during the “World Sanctions Rally” in Chater Garden, Central, protesters clashed with police officers. Three of the men denied rioting and conspiracy to injure others. The District Court ruled on the 17th that the two were guilty of rioting, but not guilty of conspiracy to intentionally cause serious bodily harm, and sentencing until September 1. One person was acquitted of all crimes of rioting and intentional wounding and was released in court.
The three defendants are Yang Haohong (20 years old at the time of the case, unemployed), Li Xuxi (20 years old at the time of the case, a student) and Chen Guorong (34 years old at the time of the case, a transport worker). All three of them denied the crime of rioting. Yang Haohong and Li Xuxi also denied the crime of conspiracy to intentionally cause serious bodily harm, and Chen Guorong earlier admitted to the crime of intentional wounding in Chater Garden.
Yang Haohong, who was accused of being the target of the police officers that day, was found not guilty of rioting and intentional wounding.
The judge pointed out that part of the testimony of the police officer responsible for the video interview did not match the written record, and there was no evidence that Yang was present at the crime scene. In the face of the defense’s questioning, the police officers’ explanations were far-fetched or even unreasonable, so they refused to accept the statements of the three police officers who were responsible for videotaping the interview and handling evidence.
The judge also pointed out that the police officer did not expect the defendant to recognize himself easily, but when the defendant recognized him within a few seconds, the police officer felt puzzled but did not ask. He also criticized the other police officer for being full of mistakes and omissions when handling the evidence, with incomplete records and not taking it seriously.
Regarding the other two defendants, the judge pointed out that Li Xuxi was one of a group of men in black who surrounded the police officers outside the Yangtze River Center and attacked the police officers with bricks, so he was convicted of “riot”; but there is no evidence to show when Li Yu reached an agreement with whom The agreement was intended to attack a police officer, so the crime of “conspiring to cause grievous bodily harm with intent” was acquitted.
As for Chen Guorong, the judge ruled that Chen was at the scene and had the intention to participate in it, so the crime of “riot” was established. As for the crime of “conspiracy to intentionally injure another person”, because there is no evidence to prove when he reached an agreement with whom to conspire to injure another person, he was not convicted of the crime.
The craze for mainland Chinese to open an account in Hong Kong has dropped sharply in the official media
As the interest rate gap between China and Hong Kong continued to widen, the mainland set off an upsurge of pouring into Hong Kong to open accounts and save money. The official media hastily sought out scholars to speak out in an attempt to cool down the situation, in order to prevent further outflows of funds.
According to a number of mainland media reports, as the US Federal Reserve continues to raise interest rates, Hong Kong’s deposit interest rates have risen. The short-term annualized interest rate attracts customers, while the semi-annual fixed deposit interest rate of mainland state-owned banks and some joint-stock banks has basically dropped to 2%. In contrast, Hong Kong’s high-interest deposits have become a hot topic in mainland China, attracting “deposit special forces” to open accounts and save money.
The Lu media “First Finance and Economics” quoted Hong Kong bankers as saying that Hong Kong bank account opening is currently very popular, and there are long queues and long appointment cycles. In response to a large number of mainland customers opening accounts in Hong Kong, some banks have even adjusted their business urgently, expanded their team size, and extended the business hours of their branches.
The report also said that a small number of banks that do not require an appointment, can be handled on-site, and have a relatively low threshold have become popular in queuing up to open an account. Among them, Bank of China Hong Kong China Hong Kong City Branch, which is known as the “Internet celebrity account opening point”, has customers starting to line up at 7:00 in the morning, and the distribution time is 8:30.
The popularity of account opening has given birth to intermediaries who specialize in providing account opening business for mainland customers. The report quoted an account opening intermediary as saying that in cooperation with HSBC, Standard Chartered Bank, and China CITIC Bank, you can get a quota that does not require deposits, wealth management and other asset certificates, and you can sign directly. It ranges from RMB 1,880 to RMB 2,880 per household.
In this regard, the mainland’s official media threw out scholars or industry insiders trying to cool down the upsurge of opening accounts in Hong Kong.
A report quoted Wang Peng, a professor at the China Financial Research Institute of Southwestern University of Finance and Economics and the chief economist of Puyi Standard, as saying, “Once the Fed stops raising interest rates and the domestic economic recovery resonates, there is a high probability that the RMB will rebound against the US dollar.” “At present, it is not appropriate to ignore the safety of the principal because of the high yields of Hong Kong dollar and US dollar deposits.”
Wang Peng also described that there are mixed intermediaries acting as agents for Hong Kong bank account opening, and the service quality is uneven. Constantly.”
Another report quoted experts as saying that the phenomenon of abnormally high interest rates attracting money is worthy of vigilance and may mean hidden risks. At the same time, it “reminds” the public that a large amount of domestic funds flowing abroad will inevitably impact the development of the mainland’s real economy. “Personal pursuit of stable income The national interest also needs to be considered.”
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2023-08-17 20:22:09
