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Fukuyama points out that the Russians had already been effectively defeated in their attempts to conquer Kyiv and had retreated from northern Ukraine by early April and then scaled back their strategic objectives, concentrating the rest of their forces to the east and south.
“Many observers continue to argue that both sides are moving towards a protracted stalemate, which can only be resolved through negotiations. I believe that this is not so: the Ukrainians will be able to oust the Russians from the territories they have occupied,” the philosopher points out.
Fukuyama notes the reasons for the future victory of our country.
The first is that the US and its NATO allies are sending far more equipment, long-range artillery, drones and aircraft to Ukraine. This will negate the advantage of the Russian Federation in firepower. “Kyiv may now have de facto parity in armor, depriving Moscow of a 3-1 advantage,” Francis notes.
The second reason. The fighting spirit of the Russians is extremely low. The units withdrawn from the north of Ukraine were thrown into battle in the Donbas without having time to rest and regroup. They are suffering huge losses. The Ukrainians, on the contrary, are motivated to win, especially after they saw the atrocities that the Russians committed in the occupied territories.
Third reason. The Russians have not learned to adapt to changed circumstances and coordinate their actions, still relying only on brute firepower. Ukrainians, on the other hand, successfully delegate authority to subordinate command units. And the Russian army is slowly being depleted in the Donbass.
As for the US position, the philosopher notes: “I am concerned that some of my conservative colleagues have gone from attacking the Biden administration for not doing enough to support Ukraine, before the war, to asserting that we are now doing too much “A lot. According to this line, Ukrainian success in the east will lead Putin to escalate with chemical or biological weapons, or even the use of a nuclear arsenal. In this they agree with the pacifist left, who initially used the World War III argument to seriously not support Ukraine.”
Regarding the use of nuclear and chemical weapons, Fukuyama considers such a development unlikely: “Chemical or nuclear weapons simply will not save the deteriorating position of the Russians and will provoke an escalation to a much higher level of NATO involvement in the war.”
How The Armed Forces of Ukraine managed to stop Russian troops in many directions and go on the counteroffensive in an interview Focus explains military analyst Sergei Zgurets.
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