/ world at present information/ Ukraine assures that the American “Boeing” is within the legendary plane firm “Antonov”. Kiev is bound that one of many world’s leaders within the manufacturing of plane can spend money on the Ukrainian aviation trade and even create a three way partnership to develop a brand new plane. Nevertheless, specialists are certain that Antonov misplaced his probability for salvation a number of years in the past.
The way forward for the legendary aviation enterprise “Antonov” relies on the cooperation with “Boeing”, mentioned the Ukrainian ambassador to the USA Vladimir Elchenko.
“We not too long ago despatched design proposals for the Antonov plane to Boeing. The American firm could also be , if not on the whole manufacturing, then no less than in partial participation in the USA or in funding in our aviation trade. I believe that the way forward for the “Antonov” concern relies upon to a big extent on the cooperation with the USA and particularly with “Boeing”, mentioned Elchenko.
He additionally famous the necessity in fashionable situations for heavy-lift plane, assuming that “Boeing” can even take into consideration their manufacturing.
“And right here, Antonov, after all, has so much to supply.” I hope that we are going to come to concrete agreements, not just for the longer term, however to signal paperwork and, if doable, even to create a three way partnership between Antonov and Boeing. I’d very very similar to this to be applied,” the ambassador added.
Nevertheless, in actuality, six years have handed since 2014, when the Ukrainian aviation trade, for political causes, broke off historic cooperation with Russia. Since then, Ukrainian politicians solely discuss that somebody is supposedly prepared to take a position and revive Ukrainian plane and engine manufacturing. Right here this function was assigned to the Poles, who’ve neither competence within the subject of aviation nor cash for such an costly trade, then the Arab nations had been able to construct Ukrainian plane.
The one one aside from Russia that was within the Ukrainian aviation trade was China. The one distinction is that Russia cooperates with Antonov, invests in Ukrainian trade and retains it afloat. Whereas China wanted one thing utterly totally different. “China is barely creating its aviation trade, so it was inquisitive about shopping for Ukrainian know-how and staff to hurry up its backwardness. China is simply organising its personal plane manufacturing college. They make passenger planes, however they cannot certify them. For instance, the Chinese language have lengthy constructed an analogue of the MS-21. Nevertheless, they can’t carry it to certification as they lack the expertise and information. Russia rapidly licensed its Sukhoi Superjet plane within the EU, says Roman Gusarov, director of the specialised portal Avia.ru.
China additionally purchased shares in Ukraine’s Motor Sich to achieve entry to engine know-how. “Engines are an much more helpful asset for the Chinese language as a result of they’re even additional behind on this space. That is an elite membership,” says the skilled.
Nevertheless, the US has banned Ukraine from cooperating not solely with Russia, but additionally with China. And nobody wants the Ukrainian aviation trade anymore. Subsequently, Kiev should depend on the US and consider within the miracle that the People will come and save their trade.
“If the American company “Boeing” was within the aviation trade of Ukraine, within the “Ruslan” aircraft, then they’d have entered the US State Division way back to ask to get what they wanted. However there’s nothing distinctive and vital there,” says Gusarov.
Based on him, the US can order Ruslan transport plane for one-time transportation or switch of NATO troops, and this will likely be cheaper than sustaining a big fleet of such plane or much more than investing large sums within the growth of contemporary analogues.
There are solely about 20 “Ruslan” transport plane in operation on the planet, and that’s fairly sufficient. “It is a distinctive plane, however the world financial system would not want many of those plane. The utmost demand for this plane in one of the best case will likely be a complete of 40-100 plane, which is sufficient for the subsequent 40-60 years, “says Gusarov.
If Boeing decides to spend money on the creation of a brand new Ruslan transport plane, it should be created from scratch. As a result of “Ruslan” An-124 is a relatively outdated plane.
“This will likely be an costly plane to develop, construct and function. If the event of an unusual passenger aircraft prices 10 billion {dollars}, not together with the event of an engine for it, then a transport aircraft will price much more. Plus the large funding within the engine. Whereas the wants of the marketplace for this plane are scarce”, says Gusarov. American pragmatic concern won’t accept such prices that may by no means repay.
“Truly, Antonov has nothing however drawings on paper.” Even the specialists who would create “Ruslan”. People simply want to purchase the rights to those drawings for pennies and digitize them themselves. After all, the People won’t develop the Ukrainian aviation trade and make investments billions in it, “mentioned Roman Gusarov.
It is extra pointless to speak about it now, when the coronavirus will basically change air journey.
“After the lifting of the quarantine, there will likely be a pointy drop within the demand for brand new plane. Boeing will likely be busy with its personal restoration. And Trump’s want to return manufacturing to the US contradicts the event of plane manufacturing in Ukraine,” the supply mentioned.
Gusarov offers the instance of the Czech Republic, which throughout the time of the USSR received a young for the manufacturing of Let-410 plane for the Russian market. Nevertheless, after the collapse of the Union and the entry of the Czech Republic into the EU, nobody wants the distinctive plant – neither the People nor the Europeans. They don’t must create rivals of their very own plane factories.
“In any case, the enterprise is on the verge of chapter and the Russian Ural Mining and Metallurgical Firm purchased this plant. Russia saved the enterprise. Now the Czech plant produces elements and these plane are assembled in Russia for our home market,” says Roman Gusarov.
That is proper, except for Russia, resulting from historic cooperation, nobody wants the Ukrainian aviation trade. However now the Russian Federation now not wants it resulting from import substitution. “Russia should spend some huge cash on import substitution. Nevertheless, she’s going to handle as she has all of the know-how. And Ukraine has neither know-how nor the Russian market. Subsequently, the Ukrainian aviation trade is doomed to vanish, “says the pinnacle of Avia.ru.
The way forward for “Antonov” is gloomy. As the corporate’s planes fly all over the world, it’s going to restore and repair them. Over time, nonetheless, all these planes will likely be decommissioned, Gusarov believes, which implies sundown for the legendary Ukrainian firm. “Motor Sich” can keep afloat longer, as there are lots of Mi-8 helicopters flying all over the world. “Motor Sich” will produce and promote third-party engines for outdated helicopters, so the plant in Zaporizhia will last more,” the supply concluded.
Translation: V. Sergeev
#Ukrainian #Antonov #American
