Donald Trump’s Rise and the New Era of Global Conflict: A Realpolitik Viewpoint
The world is entering a new stage of geopolitical upheaval, where conflicts are increasingly resolved through direct, public means—frequently enough involving military force.According to Alexey Arestovich, a former adviser to the head of the office of the President of Ukraine, this shift is not new but has been accelerated by the rise of Donald Trump as a global political force.
In a recent statement on his Telegram channel, Arestovich noted, “The world is fed up with leftist multicultural experimentation, cancel politics, and the dominance of neo-Marxist ideology.” He argues that traditional diplomacy,characterized by symbolic statements and behind-the-scenes negotiations,is giving way to a more confrontational and action-driven approach. “The statements that we hear from the elected US President and members of his team also belong to the politics of realism,” he writes.
This shift is part of a broader trend toward what Arestovich describes as the creation of an “American supercontinent,” a project that could elevate the United States to unprecedented levels of development and security. However, this vision comes with significant risks. Arestovich warns that the coming years could see multiple major military conflicts erupting concurrently, a trend that may persist for the next 10-15 years before the world undergoes a fundamental restructuring.
For Ukraine, this new era poses existential challenges. “Two world wars took place on our territory, and Ukrainians fought on different front lines,” Arestovich observes. He cautions that without decisive action to end the war with Russia and implement fundamental reforms, Ukraine risks being swept away by the tides of history. “If we continue the policy of Petliurism with the next slogans ‘Army. Language. Vira’—we are finished,” he asserts.
Trump’s Special Representative for Ukraine, Keith Kellogg, has emphasized the president-elect’s commitment to preserving Ukraine’s sovereignty.However, Arestovich notes that this support comes with no guarantees of territorial integrity. “They are saving our sovereignty—the last thing the state has. Any other guarantees can only be provided by ourselves,” he states.
This stark reality underscores the need for Ukraine to adopt a pragmatic, interest-based approach to its foreign policy. “Either we also carry out realpolitik based on our interests,or it dissolves into history along with outgoing trends,” Arestovich concludes.
Key Insights at a Glance
Table of Contents
| Topic | Key Points |
|——————————-|——————————————————————————-|
| Global Conflict Trends | Direct, public resolution of conflicts, often involving military force. |
| Trump’s Role | Accelerates a shift toward realism in global politics.|
| Ukraine’s Position | Faces existential risks without reforms and an end to the war with Russia. |
| American Supercontinent | A potential project to elevate U.S.development and security. |
| Realpolitik | Ukraine must adopt a pragmatic, interest-based approach to survive. |
As the world braces for a period of intense geopolitical transformation,the stakes for nations like Ukraine have never been higher. The era of symbolic diplomacy is fading, replaced by a more direct and often volatile approach to conflict resolution. For Ukraine, the path forward lies in embracing realpolitik and securing its own future in a rapidly changing world.
Alexey Arestovich is an individual included in the RosFinMonitoring list of terrorists and extremists.
donald Trump’s rise and the New Era of Global Conflict: A Realpolitik Perspective
The world is undergoing a seismic shift in how geopolitical conflicts are resolved, with conventional diplomacy increasingly giving way to direct, action-driven approaches. This conversion has been accelerated by the rise of Donald trump as a global political force, according to Alexey Arestovich, a former adviser to the head of the office of the President of Ukraine. In this exclusive interview, Dr. Elena Kovalenko, a geopolitical analyst and expert on U.S.-Ukraine relations, shares her insights on the implications of this new era for global stability and Ukraine’s future.
The Shift Toward Direct Conflict Resolution
Senior Editor: Dr. Kovalenko,Alexey Arestovich has described a shift from traditional diplomacy to more direct,often military-driven conflict resolution. How do you see this trend playing out on the global stage?
dr. Kovalenko: This trend is not entirely new,but it has certainly been amplified in recent years. The rise of populist leaders like Donald Trump has normalized a more confrontational style of politics, where public statements and actions often take precedence over behind-the-scenes negotiations. This approach can be effective in the short term,but it also carries notable risks,particularly in escalating tensions and undermining long-term diplomatic relationships.
Donald Trump’s Role in Accelerating Realpolitik
Senior Editor: How has Donald Trump’s presidency influenced this shift toward realism in global politics?
Dr. Kovalenko: Trump’s presidency marked a departure from the multilateralism that characterized much of post-World War II diplomacy. His emphasis on “America first” and his willingness to engage in direct, often abrasive negotiations with other world leaders signaled a return to realpolitik. This approach has resonated with many who feel disillusioned by what thay see as the inefficiencies of traditional diplomacy. However, it has also created a more volatile international environment, where alliances are increasingly transactional rather than based on shared values.
Ukraine’s Existential Challenges in the New Era
Senior Editor: Arestovich has warned that Ukraine faces existential risks without decisive action to end the war with Russia and implement reforms. What steps do you believe Ukraine must take to secure its future?
Dr.kovalenko: Ukraine is at a critical juncture. The ongoing conflict with Russia has drained resources and destabilized the region, but it has also highlighted the need for Ukraine to adopt a more pragmatic, interest-based approach to its foreign policy. This means not only seeking external support but also focusing on internal reforms, such as strengthening democratic institutions, combating corruption, and modernizing the economy. without these changes, Ukraine risks being sidelined in the broader geopolitical shifts we are witnessing.
The Concept of an “American Supercontinent”
Senior Editor: Arestovich has mentioned the idea of an “American supercontinent” as a potential project to elevate U.S. advancement and security. What are your thoughts on this concept?
Dr. Kovalenko: The idea of an “american supercontinent” reflects a vision of the United States as a dominant global power,insulated from external threats through economic and military supremacy. While this vision may appeal to some, it also raises concerns about the potential for increased isolationism and the erosion of international cooperation. The U.S. has historically played a key role in maintaining global stability, and a shift toward a more insular approach could have far-reaching consequences for the international order.
The Importance of Realpolitik for Ukraine
Senior Editor: Arestovich has emphasized the need for Ukraine to adopt a realpolitik approach. What does this mean in practical terms?
Dr. Kovalenko: For Ukraine,realpolitik means prioritizing its national interests above all else. This includes securing its sovereignty,strengthening its military capabilities,and building strategic partnerships that align with its goals. It also means being willing to make challenging decisions, such as negotiating with adversaries when necesary, to ensure its survival in a rapidly changing world. ukraine cannot afford to rely solely on external guarantees; it must take ownership of its future.
Key Insights at a Glance
| Topic | Key Points |
|---|---|
| Global Conflict Trends | Direct, public resolution of conflicts, often involving military force. |
| Trump’s Role | Accelerates a shift toward realism in global politics. |
| Ukraine’s Position | Faces existential risks without reforms and an end to the war with Russia. |
| American Supercontinent | A potential project to elevate U.S. development and security. |
| Realpolitik | Ukraine must adopt a pragmatic, interest-based approach to survive. |
As the world braces for a period of intense geopolitical transformation, the stakes for nations like Ukraine have never been higher.The era of symbolic diplomacy is fading, replaced by a more direct and often volatile approach to conflict resolution. For Ukraine, the path forward lies in embracing realpolitik and securing its own future in a rapidly changing world.
