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Ukraine. Trump’s (real) peace plan

by Enrico Oliari

This is nothing new and we are still more assumptions than concrete, but the The Wall Street Journal they reported some points about Donald Trump’s peace plan for Ukraine. During the election campaign, Trump said several times that he wanted to stop the war in Ukraine, which was caused by Ukraine’s (currently failed) membership in NATO and his failure to respect Minsk-II Protocol (independence of Donbass) and the result of Russian aggression.
However, among the advisers of the re-elected president there are two lines, that is the immediate closure of the conflict, which would give a clear victory to the Russians, and a more complex exit but which would require more time, because the goal. of reaching an equal type and draw.
In reality, no matter how much the Western media is involved in flights of fancy, it will be difficult to send the Russians away from Donbass without significant concessions, that is, recognizing the victory aca, an image of the clear defeat of the entire political class that governs. the EU.
The points in Trump’s plan should be seen as such, as reported by The Wall Street Journalcession of 20% of Ukraine’s borders to Russia, ie of the currently occupied territories, including Crimea; force Ukraine to give up NATO membership for at least 20 years, so Ukraine would continue to receive arms and aid from the US; both sides must agree on a 1,300 kilometer demilitarized zone; neither the US nor the UN will have to establish peacekeeping forces: “we will be able to train them – said one of Trump’s advisers – but let the Poles, the Germans, the English and the French send men at their expense “.
In order to force the president of Ukraine to make agreements, Trump’s advisers have warned that “we are evaluating the possibility of cutting military aid to Ukraine.” “
At this time there is no indication of points less important than the hypothetical proposal, including the lifting of bilateral sanctions, the unfreezing of Russian assets, the surrender of prisoners, the restoration of relations between Russia and the West, and reconstruction. This last topic, with conferences already held in the West (in Rome), is particularly delicate: the Italian slice of the reconstruction piece would include Donbass, which would Trump controlled by Russia.
Trump would be so realistic, also because arms sales are always good for the US economy, as long as those who buy them can pay for them, and sooner or later they don’t the loans to be paid back no more.
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov responded to the US newspaper’s confusion by recalling that “we have never refused to communicate with anyone, and even President Putin has always maintained find that talking is always better than isolating oneself from others”.

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