Two Syrian soldiers were injured in an Israeli raid near Aleppo

The political and military scene in Lebanon is shifting between Tel Aviv’s persistence in its destructive war and the American mediator Amos Hochstein‘s encouragement to restart the movement. In an effort to give priority to the diplomatic solution to the ceasefire, instead of leaving the final voice on the field due to the material and human costs resulting from the extension of the conflict between Israel and Hezbollah, despite the fact that the speakers The Parliament, Nabih Berri, and the government, Najib Mikati, have not yet been notified, as their sources told Asharq Al-Awsat about the date it came to Beirut, if he made up his mind and decided to go to Israel and reach the irrevocable agreement to end the war. So that it would not be a repetition of his previous meetings, and he was the last one to support the American-French call with the support of Arabs and Europe, before he turned against it.

European diplomatic sources in Beirut are reacting to the media’s push for Hochstein to resume his mediation, which he told Asharq Al-Awsat represents the last chance for US President Joe Biden , about two and a half months before the end of his presidency. term, and it raises a set of questions; The first is Netanyahu’s willingness to respond to his mediation, or whether he wants to offer a truce to his successor, President Donald Trump, after it ends. on the destruction of Lebanon to impose his conditions for the implementation of Resolution 1701? Second: Are the conditions before the current American administration now conducive to ending the war, unlike the previous conditions?

Although Berri and Mikati welcome any move that leads to an end to the war, they are, on the other hand, willing to pass judgments on resolutions, not because they have not been to tell them officially about Hochstein’s willingness to move, but it is not possible. bet in advance on his success in convincing Netanyahu to facilitate his ceasefire mission and deploy the army in the south In preparation for the implementation of Resolution 1701.

Lebanese official sources told Asharq Al-Awsat that Hezbollah suddenly agreed not to join Gaza and the southern fronts. The sources indicated that Mikati and Berri’s agreement to implement Resolution 1701 means that the latter has the support of the party that allowed Berri to reach a truce and bring calm back to the south. She believed that the party’s agreement meant that they had been convinced that there was no room for a connection between the south and the Gaza front, and she said that, given her position, it had upset Iran, who had to step into the line to reconnect them. . So that he can capture the southern card and include it as an item on the agenda of his negotiations with the United States.

Mikati’s response to the Iranian Foreign Minister, Abbas Araqchi, against the backdrop of his desire to connect the two fronts, was that he remained within closed walls when he first got to his trip to Beirut, and she said he didn’t hesitate. public protest during his meeting with the Speaker of the Shura Council, Muhammad Baqir Qalibaf, and his position was widely accepted. an independent state known as Lebanon.

But European sources fear that Netanyahu will rebel against Hockstein’s latest attempt to favor a diplomatic solution over the reservation, and continue his destructive war. the mediator agreed with Berri, and he is waiting for a response from the war team in Should Israel take its course to suppress the bombing in the south?

The sources are expecting a response from Netanyahu, who seems to want to buy time before Trump begins his presidential term, taking into account his tendency to continue to destroy in the area south of the Litani, all the way to the north, to turn. it into a buffer zone in which it is difficult to live.

Therefore, I warned against Netanyahu’s persistence in destroying what remains of southern Litani, not only to impose his conditions to prevent the military presence of Hezbollah, but also destroy his armor structure and the missile stockpile in the tunnels. She said he was determined to turn it into a demilitarized zone of weapons and people. Evacuate the population in a way that increases the number of displaced people; This leads to friction between a group of displaced people and their hosts, and is a source of embarrassment for the party by not providing security for their promotional environment and ensuring the needs in their shelters.

Diplomatic sources did not take into account Netanyahu’s struggle against the US administration that is preparing to leave, and he wants to take advantage of the time between the transfer and the transfer, taking advantage of the international atmosphere and regional that is hostile to the movement “Hamas” and “the party”, is to burn the area south of the Litani and turn it into a desert to succeed. conflict with Israel.

The question remains: Does Hockstein intend to launch his mediation with a green light from Biden, or is the motivation to restart the movement still within the framework of testing Tel Aviv’s response before making up mind and make his final decision? Does this mean that the diplomatic solution will be an alternative to what will lead to the open conflict in the field, as Sheikh Qassim promised again in his last speech? his destructive war because he has decided to expand his ground war?