Twitter Inc. – WKN: A1W6XZ – ISIN: US90184L1026 – Kurs: 64,590 $ (NYSE)
The Twitter share has analytically cost me a lot of nerves in the past, but the last two chart reviews were okay. You can read them again here:
TWITTER – Big-Picture-Signal in Arbeit
In relation to the last analysis, the share marked further lows, only in the following week a bullish candle appeared. So it has once again paid off to wait for such a confirmation in the candles. The conservative stop was never in danger.
Yesterday after the market closed, Twitter reported the figures for the fourth quarter. The short message service earned $ 0.38 per share, the market had only expected earnings of $ 0.31 per share. Revenue rose to $ 1.29 billion. Here the consensus was around USD 100 million less. However, Twitter disappointed with the number of users. The number of “Monetizable daily active users (mDAUs)” amounted to EUR 192 million and thus missed the market’s forecast by 1.5 million. In regular trading, however, the title is one of the daily winners in the S&P 500.
For the first quarter of 2021, Twitter is forecasting revenues of between USD 940 billion and USD 1.04 billion. Analysts are currently calculating at USD 965 million. The number of mDAUs is expected to increase by 20% compared to the previous year. Analysts expect to break even in 2021. The P / E ratios of the stock are 11.6 and 9.9, and the P / E ratios are 71 and 56.
Analytically, we can continue to stick to the forecast arrow. The former resistance at USD 55.99 now serves as support. It remains to be seen whether the all-time high of USD 74.73 will be reached. Trade management is now a bit difficult because there are no close reference points for setting a stop. In the medium term, hedging below the low of USD 44.40 is an option. An aggressive variant would be hedging in the area of 55.00 USD, i.e. just below the breakout level at 55.99 USD. Partial profit-taking cannot do any harm in the current, briefly overheated situation. For a new entry, further consolidation patterns should be awaited.
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| year | 2020 | 2021e * | 2022e * |
| Sales in billion USD | 3,72 | 4,45 | 5,20 |
| Earnings per share in USD | -1,44 | 0,91 | 1,15 |
| Earnings growth | – | 26,37 % | |
| KGV | – | 71 | 56 |
| ME | 13,8 | 11,6 | 9,9 |
| PEG | neg. | 2,1 | |
| * e = expected |
Twitter share (weekly chart)
(© GodmodeTrader 2021 – Author: Bastian Galuschka, Deputy Editor-in-Chief)
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