twenty fifth MIR and Plovdiv are the symbolic battles, in Varna and Burgas – the heavy artillery – 2024-05-20 06:25:47

/ world immediately information/ Slavi Trifonov moved from the function of Robin Hood to that of the Sheriff of Nottingham

1. What does your important studying of the get together lists for the election reveal?

2. What is going to the battles between the assorted candidates for seats appear like?

With these two questions, we turned to the political scientists Prof. Dr. Rumyana Kolarova and Anastas Stefanov from the Analysis Middle “Pattern” and the sociologist Yuri Aslanov, head of the sociological company “Afis”. Right here is Yuri Aslanov’s remark:

1. The function of get together lists is exaggerated. For years, we have now noticed a development in the direction of majoritarian voting. In observe, it seems to be far more individuals who type an electoral angle for a parliamentary vote based on the approval/disapproval of get together leaders.

A month earlier than April 4, extra attention-grabbing than the lists of the outdated events are these of the brand new ones. Slavi Trifonov’s papers are undoubtedly a shock, as a result of till now many didn’t think about that he had any pretensions to rule the nation. They noticed him not within the place of the Sheriff of Nottingham, however moderately of the forest robber Robin Hood, struggling to not enter the fort, however to get “the one” out of it and push them into the dungeon. Instantly, Slavi Trifonov despatched an surprising message: “You need to know that I’m very severe! Right here you’ve gotten financial system, finance, tradition, agriculture, sports activities – every thing!” A lot of the figures in his lists with few exceptions (himself and two or three others) are severe professionals, though completely unknown to most of the people, which is a plus. It takes me again to the king lists in 2001 the place folks had been additionally full strangers. Nonetheless, this influenced the end in his favor.

2. In Plovdiv and the twenty fifth MIR in Sofia, the battle has a symbolic that means, because the leaders of the main formations face one another. In Varna and Burgas, the place heavy artillery can be piling up, the lists is not going to have the identical that means as in Plovdiv and the twenty fifth MIR in Sofia.

I’m additionally skeptical about rearranging the lists of the preferential vote. The 15-15 phenomenon has been eliminated legislatively, now you need to get 7% of the whole results of the events within the given MIR, and that for a big get together is tens of 1000’s of votes. And if earlier than somebody may push the record of a parliamentary get together with 500-600 votes, it is not going to be really easy now.

Within the upcoming parliamentary elections, we’ll most likely have a monolithic get together vote, and the vote for the names on the lists will on no account have an effect on the result of the events.