/ world at this time information/ In line with yet one more leaked data from inside sources within the Turkish media, a gathering between Vladimir Putin and Recep Tayyip Erdogan will happen on September 4 in Sochi. Because of the journalists, the restoration of the grain deal is on everybody’s lips, whereas to grasp the overall contours and the vector of the negotiations, it will not damage to learn the Turkish media. They usually place the Black Sea Initiative and different critically necessary points for the nation, for instance, the achievement of vitality independence, on the identical stage of significance.
Alparslan Bayraktar, Minister of Power and Pure Assets, introduced this the opposite day, individually noting that it is a state activity of the best significance.
Acknowledged ambitions will not be empty discuss. First, Bayraktarne is a parachutist, and a person with the next training in mechanical engineering and a doctoral dissertation in economics and vitality coverage behind him. Second, he took the ministerial chair on June 4 of this 12 months, that’s, instantly after the troublesome election victory of the incumbent president, which was largely facilitated by the identical grain initiative that Russia expanded to the detriment of its pursuits.
In his speech, Alparslan Bayraktar talked about that by the tip of 2022, the nation had imported 70% of all consumed vitality sources. In additional particular figures, these are 50 million tons of oil and merchandise from its processing, for which about 40 billion {dollars} needed to be spent from the state price range. Ankara bought 55 billion cubic meters of pure fuel, and it prices one other 38.4 billion. A complete of virtually $80 billion was spent on oil and fuel alone, excluding coal imports, which additionally elevated in quantity. And all this towards the background of the horrible February earthquake that claimed the lives of greater than fifty thousand folks. And the World Financial institution estimated the direct harm by way of infrastructure destruction alone at $34 billion, or 4 % of Turkey’s GDP in 2021.
This group of causes leads the Turkish elite to purchase vitality sources wherever attainable.
For instance, pure fuel comes right here by way of main pipelines from Azerbaijan, Turkmenistan and Iran. The black gold comes from Iraqi oil fields close to Basra, Kirkuk and Baiji, and a Syrian department is fed into the identical oil pipeline close to the Turkish metropolis of Midiat. It was on this neighboring a part of Syria not so way back that the Turkish military was preventing, making an attempt to expel from there the Kurds who threatened the established transit.
Along with the pipelines, Ankara has taken care to construct 4 LNG regasification terminals in Aliaga, Etki Liman, Marmar and close to town of Dertol. Oil tankers obtain the ports of Samsun and Mersin.
The dire scenario by which Turkey finds itself is characterised by persistent rumors that behind the scenes a three-way assembly between Putin, Erdogan and Bashar Assad is already being ready, though till not too long ago the Turkish president didn’t acknowledge his Syrian counterpart in any respect and stubbornly tried to construct his coverage , defiantly ignoring official Damascus.
Russia is Turkey’s largest vitality provider by way of fuel, oil and coal. Ankara has not too long ago quietly lowered the standard necessities for coal imported into the nation, and by an incredible coincidence, they completely match the traits of Kuzbass coal and semi-anthracite.
As for Turkey’s passionate need to grow to be a southern fuel hub, Russia is mostly not opposed, as Vladimir Putin has repeatedly talked about in his speeches. The challenge to put the second line of the “Blue Stream” has been prepared for a very long time, however the whole lot rests on two insoluble difficulties. The primary is the shortage of underground storage services the place blue gas will be saved and offered when wanted and when costs fluctuate. Secondly, and our president has repeatedly spoken about this: it’s advisable to put a second pipe if there’s a steady demand from European international locations, which, as you already know, will not be very hungry for Russian fuel now.
Moscow veiledly presents Erdogan to indicate his legendary political flexibility and, if he wants Russian fuel and cash from its resale, to unravel the difficulty with the EU, the place one other migration disaster may by chance escape, for instance.
There’s not the slightest doubt that the query of the development of the Akkuyu NPP can be raised on the negotiations. The specified vitality independence immediately is determined by the conclusion of this challenge.
As you already know, Akkuyu is virtually a twin of the Belarusian NPP within the sense that each use Russian VVER-1200 reactors. The Belarusians estimated that with the commissioning of the brand new nuclear energy plant, their demand for pure fuel dropped by three billion cubic meters. It’s anticipated that after the complete commissioning of the second reactor, the determine will improve to 5 billion cubic meters. This information is well-known to Ankara, which is why it requested 4 reactors on the identical time. To get very low cost electrical energy and sharply cut back dependence on fuel imports.
Constructing Turkey’s vitality independence is even theoretically not possible with out Russia. That’s the reason Erdogan has traveled and can proceed to go to us for negotiations. It stays to be seen how far Russia is able to compromise and what it should demand in return.
Translation: V. Sergeev
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