In addition to the standard version of party preferences, Kantar conducted a study at the beginning of August this year, taking into account new social movements – “Poland 2050” by Szymon Hołownia and “Nowa Solidarity” by Rafał Trzaskowski. According to the poll, the United Right can count on the support of 38 percent. voters KO – 23, Left – 6 percent, and new movements “Poland 2050” by Szymon Hołownia and “New Solidarity” by Rafał Trzaskowski – 5 percent each. The remaining groups were below the election threshold. The Confederation was declared to vote by 4 percent. voters, for the Polish Coalition (PSL – Kukiz15) – 3 percent. In addition, 10 percent. voters are undecided, and 6 percent. refused to answer the question about party preferences.
In the commentary to survey Kantar stressed that regardless of whether it was ultimately the movements Hołownia and Trzaskowski will be on the election lists in the next parliamentary elections or not, the poll decided to check their election potential, and also how their participation on the political scene would affect the fate of the groups already present there. “Both the movements of Szymon Hołownia and Rafał Trzaskowski would not have much impact on the support of right-wing parties. + Nowa Solidarność + would bring together more left-wing voters, primarily those who vote for the Civic Coalition. + Poland 2050+ would appeal to a diverse electorate – from the voters of the KO and the Left, on the other – the Polish Coalition, and even the Confederation, “assessed Kantar.
“The relatively high percentage of people + I don’t know / hard to say + in the voter structure of both social movements indicates that such groups would also have a chance to fill the gap on the political scene and win voices people who have not voted so far “- added the studio.
The poll was conducted on August 7-12, 2020 on a representative sample of 971 residents determined to participate in the elections Polish aged 18 and over by computer-assisted interviewing method (CAPI).
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