Allan Lichtman revealed who will win US presidential elections. A historian from American University, who has been surprising with the precision of his predictions for four decades, based on his own system of “13 keys to the White House”, shared his latest forecast.
In an interview with Interia, Lichtman explains that his method is not based on momentary surveys or expert assessments not based on science, which have often failed. His approach focuses on the quality of governance, not on the dynamics of the election campaign.
The only mistake in Lichtman’s career was the result of the 2000 elections, when the Supreme Court had the final say.
In an interview with Polsat News, just three weeks before the US presidential elections, Lichtman predicts that the upcoming elections will be a breakthrough. His pick to win is Kamala Harris. As she emphasizes, Harris will be the first woman of African and Asian roots to serve as US president. Lichtman points to this as a signal of a change in the direction in which America is heading, noting that the traditional image of politics, dominated by older white men, is in retreat.
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Why will Kamala Harris win the election? “It only fails to meet four conditions”
In 1981, Lichtman was met by a key scientist in the field of earthquake prediction who proposed that his system be applied to the presidential election.
Lichtman’s system is based on the analysis of 13 indicators that help determine whether the ruling party will remain in power. If six or more of these keys count against her, the probability of her losing increases. According to this model, Kamala Harris only fails to meet four of the 13 keys.
Source: Polsat News
