Trump – Harris duel: a new “surprising” poll from the New York Times calls for

In fact, the American channel announces that Trump and Harris are tied at the national level, with 47% of the votes. A rather surprising decision because during last week’s well-attended debate, the Democrat emerged with the better view (according to a survey, 67% of people had estimated that she had won over the Republicans). But according to the New York Times, this is not enough to give him a decisive advantage in the November 5 elections.

Kamala Harris admits on Oprah Winfrey’s set that she later regrets: “I shouldn’t have said that”

One element, however, could reassure the Republican, according to this new study. In the key state of Pennsylvania, which may be decisive in the final count, Kamala Harris has a 4% advantage (50 to 46), which remains unchanged from August. According to the New York Times, the Democrat continues to receive support from African-American voters, young people and women. But be careful, because the media points to a danger: the economic side. In Pennsylvania, 77% of likely voters rate the US economy as weak or “fair”, while only 22% see it as “good or excellent”.

Could Donald Trump therefore benefit from this economic issue? Nothing is certain but we will also note that, according to the latest poll, he is also losing ground with certain voters, that is white voters with higher education who ‘ live in the suburbs. Support from this target audience (which was 42% in the 2020 election) has dropped to 36%, both nationally and in Pennsylvania.

Finally, The New York Times still thinks it’s “amazing” that Kamala Harris is stronger in Pennsylvania than she is nationally. This state has been one of the most contested since 2016 and generally leans more Republican than the rest of the country. But the media is pushing his interpretation: in 2024, the Democrats – first with Joe Biden and now with Kamala Harris – have shown relative strength with white voters, and the voters of Pennsylvania brighter than the country combined. According to the new polls, the Democrats received 46% of the votes from white voters in Pennsylvania. In 2020, Joe Biden (who would become president) received 43% of the vote from white voters nationally. Hillary Clinton (then beaten by Donald Trump) only got 39% of the votes from this group in 2016.