Another potential tropical cyclone is approaching
The SMN reported that a storm formed in the Pacific Ocean another low pressure zone. This is located at Southern Guatemala and El Salvador745 kilometers south-southeast of the mouth of the Suchiate Riveron the border of Mexico and Guatemala, and is moving west-northwest at a speed of between 16 and 24 km/h.
According to the National Meteorological Service, this system has a 10 percent probability of cyclonic development in 48 hours and 80 percent for the next seven days. If it evolves further, it would become the Tropical Storm Danielthe fourth cyclone of the 2024 season in the Pacific.
Kilometers higher up, there is also another low pressure zone, although with very little probability of cyclonic development. It is located 1,720 kilometers to the west.southwest of Cabo San Lucas, Baja California Sur.
These are the other low pressure zones that are being monitored due to their potential for cyclonic development. (NHC)
Mexican states on alert for Tropical Depression Three-E
Although forecasts indicate that this system will not make landfall in Mexicotheir cloud bands Yes they are causing effects on our country. Given this situation, the governors of western states issued alerts and recommendations before the strong rains, gusts of wind y high waves.
Enrique Alfaro Ramirez, from Jaliscodoes not expect Tres-E to impact its entity, but does warn of moderate rains in the coastal regions and in the mountainswhich is why he asked to be attentive to the information issued by the state Civil Protection.
For its part, Civil protection of the state of Colima He also reported on the formation of Tropical Depression Three-E and warned that it could bring heavy rains and strong winds, and asked the population to be aware and obtain information only from official channels.
At the same time, Civil Protection of Michoacan He indicated that due to the presence of this zone of instability on the Pacific coast, heavy rains with electrical discharges were expected today in the regions of Costa, Infiernillo, Oriente, Pátzcuaro-Zirahuén, Cuitzeo, Telpalcatepec, Lerma-Chapala Tierra Caliente and Bajío.
Tropical Depression Three-E is located off the coasts of Colima and Michoacán. (Ventusky)
Will it be a hurricane? Possible trajectory and evolution forecast for Tres-E
The SMN shared the possible trajectory that could take Tropical Depression Three-E in the next daysas well as the chances of gaining strength.
Initially, it is expected to intensify throughout this Wednesday and become the Tormenta Tropical Carlotta and it would remain like this until the afternoon of Friday, August 2, when it would evolve to Category 1 HurricaneThe model indicates that this system will remain in this status until the early hours of Monday, August 5, when it will once again become a tropical storm.
Possible path of Tropical Depression Three-E/Tropical Storm Carlotta. (SMN/Conagua)
Where is Tropical Depression Three-E located?
According to National Metereological Service (SMN), the center of Tres-E is located 530 kilometers southwest of Manzanillo, Colimaalready 540 kilometers southwest of San Telmo Point, Michoacan.
“It has maximum sustained winds of 55 km/h, gusts of 75 km/h and is moving west-northwest at 19 km/h,” said the National Water Commission (With water) in a breaking weather advisory.
This is the exact location of Tres-E. (SMN/Conagua)
Tropical Depression Three-E forms
He National Hurricane Center The National Health Service (NHC) announced at around 9:00 a.m. this morning Wednesday, July 31 that on the coasts of Pacific Ocean was formed Tropical Depression Three-Ewhich, if intensified, would become the Tormenta Tropical Carlotta.
“Three-E is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and is expected to continue with a further turn toward the west during the next few days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast and the depression is expected to become a tropical storm tonight and a hurricane by this weekend,” the NHC said.
When will Tropical Cyclone Carlotta form off the coast of Mexico? This is what the National Hurricane Center said
If it forms, it would become the third cyclone of the 2024 season in the Pacific Ocean.
The EP94 system is currently 495 km south of Punta San Telmo, Michoacán. (Ventusky)
He National Metereological Service of Mexico (SMN) and the National Hurricane Center of the United States (NHC) monitor the oceans Atlantic and Pacific due to the presence of four zones of low pressure that have the potential to cyclonic development in the next 48 hours and the next seven days.
Mexican monsoon and possible tropical cyclone Carlotta will cause heavy rains in these states today, July 31
The SMN monitors low pressure areas in the Pacific and Atlantic with the potential to become a depression and/or tropical storm
The rains are expected to be accompanied by strong winds, lightning and hail. (SMN/Conagua)
For this one Wednesday, July 31he National Metereological Service (SMN) warned that the rains will continue in much of the country due to the Mexican monsoona series of low pressures, of which one has the potential to cyclonic developmentin addition to the entry of humidity from the Pacific Ocean, the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean Sea; in addition to the above, he warned that in the north a hot environment is expected with maximum temperatures above 40 degrees in the north and southeast of Mexico.
This is the speed and trajectory of the potential cyclone Carlotta, which is moving off the coast of Mexico
The SMN and the National Hurricane Center estimate a 90% chance of cyclone development in the next 48 hours in the Pacific Ocean
The National Hurricane Center sees a high probability that the low pressure system in Mexican waters will evolve into a Tropical Depression. PHOTO: NOAA
He National Meteorological Service (SMN) reported that off the coast of Guerrero and Michoacan Tropical wave number 14 is associated with a low pressure zone with 90% chance of cyclonic development in the next two days, which is why on Thursday, August 1, it could reach the category of Tropical Depression and shortly after in the Tormenta Tropical Carlotta.
