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03/11/2022 at 09:37
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The elimination of PSG leaves a domino effect that returns to burst a project of the Parisian club after the umpteenth great investment. Between now and the summer changes are coming at a club that has failed in its attempt to win the Champions League after a painful elimination against Real Madrid. Many questions surround his destiny, with Mbappé, Pochettino, and future signings or departures that are already faithfully reflected in Betfair’s forecasts.
The first movement is the clearest of all, or so it seems. Mbappé is the only one who was saved from the fire in Madrid and after what happened at the Bernabéu Betfair bettors are more certain of his role next season. That Mbappé signs for Real Madrid has an implicit probability of 85%. Another thing happens with the bench where all roads lead to one name: Zinedine Zidane.
That Zidane occupies the PSG bench next season is paid with a fee that gives him an implicit probability of 12%. Even Pochettino’s quota to continue has an implied probability of 44%, although with a clear tendency for the probability to decrease. That he has this quota is explained by the fact that he is the current coach of the Parisians, but his future looks uncertain. The fact that Zidane is free and that his other most likely destination, the French team, is not possible until after the World Cup in Qatar fuel this turn considerably.
Valverde, covered option
Another coach who has not had a bench for a long time is Ernesto Valverde. He is one of the most coveted coaches on the market and in recent interviews he has confessed that after Barcelona he wanted to take some time off. His legacy is one of the most respected in Europe after a brilliant career at Athletic Club and Barcelona. According to Betfair forecasts, that Valverde occupies the PSG bench next season has an implied probability of 13%, even improving Zidane’s probability, weighed down by the siren songs of the French team.
United seduce Pochettino
One aspect that would complete the puzzle is Manchester United. The Old Trafford team is looking for a new coach for next season. Ralf Rangnick will hold a position in the sports management from July and Pochettino is the first candidate to succeed the German. According to Betfair forecasts, the current PSG coach being United manager next season has an implied probability of 50%.
Pogba, one step away from PSG
PSG’s debacle not only invites changes on the bench but also in its squad apart from Mbappé. Without leaving Manchester United, we focus on Pogba. The French is a classic desire of the Gallic team or so the media has reflected in recent years. His contract ends this season and it seems more than evident that he will leave Old Trafford. According to Betfair forecasts, Pogba signing for the Parc des Princes club is paid with an implied probability of 31%, the fee with the highest probability index of all his alternatives.
The challenge of joining Cristiano Ronaldo and Leo Messi
Pogba’s name is joined by another Manchester United player like Cristiano. PSG’s dream of uniting Messi with CR7 could seduce the new project and fit into the traditional transfer policy of the Parisians. According to Betfair forecasts, Cristiano Ronaldo signing for PSG is paid with a quota of 18% implicit probability, second best valued option. The first is Sporting de Portugal, the club where he began his career. In addition, Cristiano has recently confessed that he wants to play 4 or 5 more years despite having 37 springs, although almost on par with PSG, with an implicit probability of 22%.
Haaland’s bullet if Mbappé leaves
But the new project PSG will need youth and that responds to the name of Haaland. If, as it seems clear that Mbappé will leave, the Norwegian’s option emerges as the most feasible to compete with the greats of Europe with a fashionable striker. The fact of playing in France is a handicap for PSG and it is quoted with an implicit probability of 8% that the crack of Borussia Dortmund signs for the French entity next season. They outperform City, Madrid, Bayern, Barcelona and Chelsea. What is clear is that PSG must make a radical turn if they want to form a new reliable project to finally conquer Europe and this is reflected in Betfair’s predictions.
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