VIGILANCE – While 19 French departments have been confined for ten days, the government is keeping an eye on the epidemic figures. New departments could be subject to more stringent measures in the coming days.
Léa LUCAS – 2021-03-31T00:03:36.998+02:00
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Ten days is not much to measure the impact of the health measures introduced in the 19 departments reconfigured this month of March. But as the figures remain worrying – more than 5,000 patients in intensive care and 337 deaths – Emmanuel Macron is considering all the options within a few hours of a decisive Defense Council.
For now, in Ile-de-France and Hauts-de-France, the progression of the virus continues despite the strengthening of restrictions. In the capital region, resuscitation services are still saturated with 1,525 patients in critical care. The teams are preparing to receive 3,470 by mid-April if the epidemic situation remains the same, more than during the first wave.
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But, these are only hypotheses, because the epidemic remains an unpredictable phenomenon. “We seem to be at the start of this wave, but we don’t know how far it will go, explains Antoine Flahault, epidemiologist and director of the Institute of Global Health in the TF1 report at the top of the article. For example, “eIn Italy, it did not stop very high while in Poland, it continues to rise very strongly. ”
The Alpes-Maritimes bore the brunt of this uncertainty: a week before the inhabitants were confined, the region had recorded a spectacular drop in its incidence rate only to suddenly rise sharply when the new measures came into force. , as shown by the curve below.
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A priori, the track of total containment over the whole of the territory is ruled out. On the other hand, it is not excluded for certain departments in the red zone, when others presenting a worrying incidence could be concerned by the braking measures. The closure of schools in the most affected regions is also being studied. For the time being, the Head of State has not planned to speak on this subject in the coming days. The only announcement from the executive: controls will be tightened from Thursday, April 1, with the approach of a “high-risk” Easter weekend.
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