- Competence: Champions League
- Date: 8 March 2023
- Start: 8:00 PM / 9:00 PM CET
- Estadio: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Second leg of the round of 16 of the Champions League, where Milan starts with an advantage after winning 1-0 in the first leg and now Tottenham plays at home and has to go out to come back. The two come from losing in the league by taking substitutes, so they are giving priority to this game.
Tottenham in the first leg was dominated by Milan in terms of chances, since they had 0 chances and 0.44 expected goals compared to the 4 clear chances for the Italian team and 1.89 expected goals, so the result could be bigger but they are still alive .
Tottenham at home averages 1.77 expected goals and 2 goals scored on average in its 13 Premier League games. He also left a clean sheet in 38% of his matches. Milan also have similar numbers on the road, as they average 1.67 expected goals. But defensively, they only kept clean sheets in 23% of their games, so Tottenham are very likely to score. Milan have scored 2 goals in their last 4 away games, so it is less likely. Therefore, the locals are favorites and my forecast is the Tottenham win.
