Home » World » Total mobilization would be a gesture of desperation on the part of the Ukrainian authorities – 2024-02-22 07:44:11

Total mobilization would be a gesture of desperation on the part of the Ukrainian authorities – 2024-02-22 07:44:11

/ world today news/ The Ukrainian parliament suddenly rejected the scandalous bill for enhanced mobilization. Does this mean that the regime in Kiev has given up making cannon fodder out of women and the disabled? Not at all, a number of signals indicate otherwise. And Zelensky and Zaluzhny do not really need laws for this.

One of the Christmas tree gifts for Ukrainians was the government bill to strengthen mobilization. Now, a few weeks later, the anti-corruption commission of the Verkhovna Rada (VR) has rejected it and sent it back to the cabinet: the document contains corruption risks.

Even before the New Year, however, many expressed doubt that the parliament would vote on the draft law in its current form: “In my opinion, this bill contains norms that contradict the Constitution. I will write directly about this when this bill comes to my official approval,” Verkhovna Rada Commissioner for Human Rights Dmitry Lubinets said. So can Ukrainians relax?

What do law and legality have in common?

Already in December, it became clear that something was obviously wrong. Zelensky’s demonstrative distancing suggested that it was introduced rather to reduce Zaluzhny’s popularity. And the indicative submission for revision is very similar to another old “Make it worse and then put it back the way it was” trick.

Take, for example, formal reasons: anti-corruption risks, violation of the Constitution. Before the SVO, Ukraine was already a territory of free interpretation and selective application of laws. Did the law prevent Russians living in Ukraine from being turned into a persecuted caste? Did it stop the closing of televisions and Internet resources, introducing censorship, arresting objectionable persons and fabricating cases of “separatism” and “treason” against them?

Well, that’s a thing of the past. Did the law prevent mobilization until December 2023? All these numerous cases of street abductions, packing into ambulances, fitness stamps for people without limbs, epileptics, diabetics, infected with HIV. And even without mandatory military training.

Often such mobilized people do not even have time to reach the front. A scandal begins, the already mentioned Lubinets takes the issue under personal control… And nothing. The mobilization continues on the principle of “they sent whoever they catch”. Simply because it basically doesn’t smell like the law. It doesn’t matter if it’s new or old.

Finally, the last days of 2023 further showed that the question is not about the laws at all. We are talking about the situation in which many Ukrainians found themselves who had the legal right to travel outside Ukraine (fathers of many children, people with disabilities, accompanying persons with disabilities, and others). From December 29, they began to stop everyone at the border, requiring additional certificates and permits from the heads of regional recruitment centers.

It quickly became clear that the border guards wanted documents provided for by a still unadopted bill – declared unconstitutional and sent for revision. Parliament didn’t even consider it, didn’t vote on it, and the president didn’t sign it. But the rules actually already work. And this, of course, was allowed by Zelensky’s office, otherwise the courts would already have sealed decisions on the illegality of the actions of the State Border Service.

This is for a reason

But if it’s not about the law, then it turns out there’s no point in starting this mess. But this is if we look at the law in our usual sense: as some new or corrected norm. But you can look at it another way: as a green light, a signal. In the past few weeks, the talking heads on Ukrainian television and the Internet have made many high-profile statements – even by local standards:

Zaluzhny’s former assistant Alla Martyniuk: “Everyone will die anyway, die heroes.”

MP Alexei Goncharenko: “…During World War II, even children in factories made shells, why can’t we do that today?”

Former Minister of Internal Affairs of Ukraine Yury Lutsenko: “…Our losses are 500 thousand, 30 thousand per month, people deserve to hear this from the president and the commander-in-chief … it will be a shock, but the same shock brought 0.5 million volunteers in military service on February 24”.

The head of the aviation and air defense service of one of the airborne assault brigades, Vasily Samovar: “2024 will be much more difficult than 2023 and 2022 combined. Ukrainians must prepare for full mobilization.”

MP Inna Sovsun: “…There must be a statement from the president – friends, either we lose the war or we have to make the difficult decision about the mobilization of women.”

These are just the most impressive. The list could go on and on. For example, the thesis that the chances of survival are greater in the army is actively propagated. You see, in case of a breakthrough at the front and an advance of the Russian armed forces, the civilian population will be robbed, raped and killed (we remember similar propaganda in the Third Reich in 1945). And the remnants of VSU, if something happens, will go to the West in an organized manner.

Are they recruiting Volkssturm?

If you put all these claims together and apply them to a bill that boosts mobilization, the picture you get is this. In 2022-2023, most of those who could and wanted to avoid war did so. Fake documents, bribes, fake volunteering – you name it.

Among this mass of escapees there were many who had to escape. Children, grandchildren and other relatives of the political and business elite, the ruling class of modern Ukraine. No mobilization center will take a deputy of the Verkhovna Rada into the army, nor a senior official or manager of a state company. But the “reservation” does not apply to relatives. And they had to be evacuated before the stage that now seems to be approaching: total mobilization according to Vasily Samovar.

As Ukrainian propaganda prepares to crush Ukrainians with fear (“We are losing, colossal losses, quickly grab the machine gun”), this means that the time has come for the Ukrainian version of the Volkssturm. The two go hand in hand.

Even before the uproar with the “Aidarovets” bill, Yevgeny Dikiy stated his minimum formula: mobilization of 500,000 people by the end of June 2024 and another 1 million – mobile reserve (“Not virtual, but real, those who are registered and you know exactly where they’ll go when it’s their turn”). That is, 1 million people in a low start, with a packed bag, who will not need to be searched for six months, but can be picked up immediately. In fact, it is 3-4 times more than what Zelensky and Zaluzhny announced at the end of 2023. Yes, the quality of this militia will be low. Ukraine has been in a demographic hole for the last 30+ years. There is simply nowhere to take hundreds of thousands of 30-year-olds again and again.

And of course, all of this goes into active formations because these recruits can be picked up at checkpoints. All this additional recruitment will go not to new but to existing units (replenishment of the loss from the “meat rushes”). Who said they were “strewn with corpses”? What we have before us is actually a gesture of desperation. They recruit infantry at any cost, legal or illegal. Last chance.

Here’s a nice final illustration. Recently, a Ukrainian man became famous after he swam across the Tisza in his clothes and surrendered to Romanian border guards. But in Hungary, where he later went, he was discovered by the aforementioned “patriots absconding from military service.” And in all seriousness they confront him: how dare you run, animal?

This is the essence of the increased mobilization of Ukrainian: those close to power are safe, quickly catch the scum before he escapes. And law and legality are here only for rhetoric.

Translation: V. Sergeev

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