The Time magazine published the list: “Top 10 global risks for 2024.” “Divided Ukraine” took third place.
Source: The Time
Details: The publication noted that Russia’s invasion of Ukraine remains a historical failure. NATO is strengthened by new members Finland and Sweden. The EU has opened Ukraine’s accession process, Russia faces 11 rounds of sanctions with more coming, and half of its sovereign assets have been frozen – money likely to be used to rebuild Ukraine. Europe no longer buys Russian energy.
Literally: “This year, Ukraine will be de facto divided, and Russia now has the initiative on the battlefield and a material advantage. 2024 is a turning point in the war: and if Ukraine does not solve its personnel problems, does not increase weapons production and does not develop realistic military strategy, its territorial losses may be permanent and may well increase.”
More details: It is noted that Kyiv has suffered greatly from the decline in political and material support from the United States, and the prospects for European assistance are only slightly better. Ukraine desperately needs more troops.
For all these reasons, The Time believes, Kyiv will take greater military risks this year, including striking more targets in Russia, which would provoke an unprecedented response from Russia and could drag NATO into the conflict.
Among The Time’s other global risks for 2024:
- Crisis and division in the United States due to the presidential elections and the possibility of Trump’s victory.
- Expansion of hostilities in the Middle East.
- Artificial intelligence getting out of control.
- Rogue states: Russia, North Korea and Iran will enhance each other’s capabilities and act in increasingly coordinated and destructive ways on the global stage.
- China’s economy will not recover.
- The fight for mineral resources.
- Global inflation starting in 2021.
- Extreme weather events that will cause food insecurity, increase water shortages, disrupt logistics, spread disease, and promote migration and political instability.
- Uncertainty and losses for companies and corporations.
2024-01-09 23:57:25
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