/ world today news/ The presence of PMC “Wagner” in Belarus seriously excited Kiev and the Poles. According to Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko, the militants are trying to convince him that they are eager to march on Europe! They say they really want to go on a trip to Warsaw!
After the well-known events in Rostov on June 24, the column of “musicians” left Russia and moved to the territory of Belarus.
This decision was made as a result of negotiations between Presidents Vladimir Putin and Alexander Lukashenko. The exact number of fighters is not known. According to internal sources, the new camp of the “orchestrators” is located somewhere in the Minsk region.
In turn, Russian President Vladimir Putin expressed his gratitude to Alexander Grigorievich for his contribution to the peaceful resolution of the situation and thanked him for his help in stopping the rebellion.
The Belarusian leader spent a whole day in talks with the head of PMC “Wagner” Yevgeny Prigozhin, and in the end the parties came to “prevent the unfolding of a bloody massacre” in Russia.
But after some time, Alexander Grigorievich Lukashenko “complained” to Vladimir Vladimirovich that the “Wagnerians” were beginning to “stress” him.
No, it’s not about arbitrariness. At the meeting with Putin in Strelna (Petersburg), Lukashenko said that the “musicians” wanted to “go on an excursion to Warsaw, to Rzeszów.” And he added that given their mood, he should keep the fighters away from the borders with the Polish state.
It is a fact that Poland has deployed its military contingent to the Belarusian borders. Some experts suggest that on the part of the Poles there may be a desire to develop the western territories of Ukraine. But the threat from Minsk does not allow to act with full force.
The editor of the investigation department of “First Russian” Alexander Stepanov discussed this topic with the first minister of state security of the DPR FSB reserve colonel Andrey Pinchuk in the new project of Tsarigrad – “Strength is in justice”.
“Wagner” is preparing to rush to Kiev?
Alexander Stepanov: Andrei, enough time has passed since it was announced that PMC “Wagner” was moving to Belarus. During this time there were various events. They said they would settle there, military bases would be established. What is this all about?
Andrey Pinchuk: Listen, well, it was such an extreme mode! Actually a stopcock. And some mutually acceptable, relatively decent way out of the situation was needed. That’s fine in theory. Everyone seemed to agree. And then the question arises…
– Yes, there are enough questions.
– Much more than you can imagine.
– But, on the other hand, are they very tense in Ukraine, in Kiev? And Poland tensed at the fact that Wagner’s military bases would be located near the borders and there would be a concentration of troops.
— Let them tense up, let them relax… From Russia’s point of view, the presence of “Wagner” as a Russian special military tool in Belarus makes sense when it solves some problems. And what tasks can Wagner solve from the Russian point of view in Belarus?
– Well, let’s say, to take over the guarding of the border with Belarus part of the Ukrainian troops, right?
Do we have a group there?
– Yes.
– And there are various representatives of the group, including those in charge of nuclear weapons. Therefore, the Ukrainians were pulled back. Much more … It is assumed that “Wagner” will make a blow to Kiev from Belarus.
– Yes, this has been talked about many times.
– Well, these are those who have little idea of the true state of affairs. Yes, we made the move to Kiev during the SVO led by Colonel General Alexander Lapin.
Ours reached Brovary, began hostilities, but could not capture it. So, this move was made through Chernobyl.
Chernobyl, if you look at the map, these are swamps. Everything is mined there first of all. And there aren’t many logistical routes and bridges to navigate. And especially for armored vehicles.
Second, there is a grouping of the enemy. Therefore, no dagger strikes against defenseless or poorly armed Kiev are possible anymore. Because these are already battles on the front line, on the border. It’s over, there’s nothing to do.
To cut off Ukraine from the sea
– That is, no forced marches, nothing like that can be expected?
– If breakthroughs are possible, it is at tactical depth. Approximately twenty kilometers. And then – as it was in Bakhmut: you will count everything in meters.
In my deep conviction, if any movement is possible, then rather in the Odessa-Nikolaev direction. In general, I think that all efforts should be concentrated there.
First, it is Transnistria and guaranteed access to the European direction. The second reason is even more important: to cut off Ukraine from the sea.
As soon as Ukraine becomes a landlocked and not a maritime country, it will quickly lose its geopolitical importance, including for the West. Normal land area. All according to the principles of the infamous Heartland and the foundations of geopolitics.
– Then their sea logistics route will be blocked, right?
– Things are changing… No grain deals. No traffic on the seas. There are no transit zones. Nothing.
The Sea of Azov is already controlled by us. If we cut off Ukraine from the Black Sea coast, then it is a completely different country. With a completely different political, geopolitical value. Its only value is the border with Russia. But Russia borders many countries.
Therefore, if we want to hurry somewhere, since we cannot go to Kiev now, then we should move to Transnistria.
Unfortunately, we made this opportunity much more difficult for ourselves when we left Kherson. But, on the other hand, at that moment there were not so many forces that would allow us to move forward. And it’s a shame, frankly…
— And those moments with the explosion of the Kakhovka hydroelectric plant? Will they in any way affect the general military situation now, in the future?
– Apart from what has already happened, nothing will change. You talk about how now everything will dry out and there they will move …
— Yes, that’s exactly what I’m talking about.
– Not exactly. There is a meter layer of silt. Even if something dries up, then even heavy Western, even Soviet equipment will sink into this mire.
When there were battles for Ugledar, one of the reasons we didn’t take it was precisely those muddy ruts that the tanks got into.
And now compare: what is happening at the Kakhovskaya HPP and what was under Ugledar. There is a meter difference. The tanks stopped there, the equipment stopped …
They say that tanks are not afraid of dirt. But sometimes they are still afraid. Therefore, nothing will change.
Russian counteroffensive
– What do you think, taking into account the efforts of Ukraine in certain sections of the front, what should be our actions now to turn the situation in our favor?
– Well, the command tactics are clear. We wear them out in attack and in defense accordingly. They lose significantly more personnel, as does anyone on offense. They’re losing ammo. And we are carrying out systematic strikes on warehouses. True, they also inflict …
And after reaching a certain point of loss of offensive potential, there will likely be a counter-offensive. A “counteroffensive” on our part in these weakened directions. But Ukraine has not yet introduced all the reserves, this should be understood soberly.
– According to your estimates, how many of these reserves do they have left? In time perspective, so to speak.
– It depends on how and where they go. Part of the brigades prepared for the offensive, no less than four or five, are in full combat readiness. They were specially trained for this offensive. As the same 47th brigade …
Yes, the armed forces of Ukraine suffered significant losses, but not all. I think they will have these opportunities even before the fall.
– Alexander Bastrykin, chairman of the Investigative Committee of Russia, recently spoke about mercenaries fighting on the side of Ukraine. How big is their role? And will Poland start sending troops into Ukraine to confront us?
– Their role is not big at all. There are. They kill our soldiers just like Ukrainian soldiers do. But they are not a significant political and military force.
They just reinforce certain areas. And in this sense, they are more dangerous for the tactical sections of the front than for the situation in general.
As for Poland: why do they need this? If Ukraine is at war, why should it send troops? If you mean a younger brother who does this work for you.
And incurs losses.
And incurs losses. And increasingly it goes to a state dependent on you. To be honest, I don’t believe this story about the annexation from Poland at all.
Poland has been building a mono-ethnic state for the Poles themselves for so long that to annex (on any basis) Ukraine with the “heroic” Ukrainians is beyond any logic of state building in Poland.
But to use it as a limiter or an anti-Russian buffer – that’s what they are doing now. They put their resources into it. In addition, they use the resource of Ukraine. And for that you don’t need to annex anything.
– Agreed. That is true. Well, thanks a lot for the conversation!
Translation: SM
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