Three tropical threats emerge in the Atlantic as peak hurricane season approaches.
As the statistical peak of the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season approaches, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) is monitoring three areas of weather disturbances that could evolve into tropical systems. These phenomena have been detected in the Caribbean, as well as in the central and eastern Atlantic Ocean.
The NHC has focused its attention on a disturbance in the Caribbean that, although currently producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms, could develop into a tropical depression as it reaches the western part of the Caribbean and the Gulf of Mexico later this week and over the weekend. Environmental conditions are expected to become more favorable for this development, and there is an estimated medium chance of development over the next seven days.
At the same time, the agency is monitoring a tropical disturbance in the eastern Atlantic, near the Cape Verde Islands. This system is generating disorganized rains and storms, but environmental conditions should become more favorable for its development in the coming days.
The NHC forecasts that this disturbance has a medium chance of becoming a tropical depression as it moves west-northwest or northwest. This phenomenon could bring heavy rains and strong winds to parts of the Cabo Verde Islands in the next few days.
Finally, another system has been identified in the central Atlantic, approximately midway between the west coast of Africa and the Lesser Antilles. Like the others, it is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Although slow development is expected over the next few days as the system moves west-northwestward, environmental conditions could become unfavorable for additional development by the end of the week. The NHC assigns this system a low probability of development over the next seven days.
According to Fox Weather, forecasts for development in an area near the Texas and Louisiana coasts in the Gulf of Mexico have been dismissed after considerably heavy rainfall was recorded in the region. Attention has shifted to the new disturbances mentioned above.
The Weather Channel noted that the last named storm in the Atlantic, Hurricane Ernesto, occurred two weeks ago. The next storm to reach tropical storm intensity will be named Francine.
It is important to note that these patterns are typical for this time of year, with September being the most active month of the Atlantic hurricane season. This vast area of potential tropical system development persists due to the more favorable weather conditions prevailing during this month.
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