This yr Ukraine will lose Kharkov, and in the summertime of 2025 – Odessa. Lviv will stay if NATO enters there

The Russian politician and businessman predicted additional developments and substantiated his view with calculations.

Mikhail Khodorkovsky. Video display: insiderUKR / Telegram

At one of many speeches in Germany, a recording of which was distributed on social networks, one of many leaders of the Russian opposition, the previous head of the Yukos oil firm, Mikhail Khodorkovsky, mentioned that Ukraine and the West had really already misplaced the battle:

“I ask my Ukrainian associates to shut their ears. Sorry, however I’ll enable myself this. Gents, you will have virtually already misplaced the battle in Ukraine. We misplaced it.”

The businessman and politician additional cited the next figures: “Ukraine’s GDP earlier than the battle was $160 billion. Russia – 2.2 trillion. Germany – 4.1 trillion. European Union – 17 trillion.

Putin spends 120 billion {dollars} a yr on the battle (and the price of the most typical artillery shell, 152 millimeters, is $500). It spends roughly 5.4% of GDP on battle.

European help to Ukraine throughout the two years of battle amounted to about $88 billion, or 0.25% of GDP. And that is with a worth for a 155 mm projectile starting from 5 to eight thousand {dollars}.

Which implies (bearing in mind American provides) the true ratio of battle prices is 2.5 to 1 in Putin’s favor at finest.

This yr, with out American provides, the ratio is 4 to 1 at finest.

If in the beginning of the battle the ratio of the inhabitants of Ukraine and Russia was 40 million to 142 million, or 3.5 to 1, now it’s 7 to 1.”

Having offered such calculations, Khodorkovsky requested: “How do you order to battle?”

“With this example of provides and forces, Ukraine will lose Kharkov by the tip of the yr. Till the center of subsequent yr – Odessa. The steadiness of forces will develop into 10-12 to 1 by the tip of 2025. Till mid-2026, Ukraine will proceed solely guerrilla warfare, and Lvov will stay if NATO troops, represented by Poland, enter there,” he predicts.

Khodorkovsky centered the eye of these current on the truth that he offered the most effective state of affairs, which concerned the continuation of the heroic resistance of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, regardless of the hopelessness of the scenario. In any other case, the entrepreneur believes, every thing will occur sooner. On the similar time, nobody will storm giant cities, since with out assist they don’t pose a menace.

“OK. Why not betray Ukraine? Possibly Putin will seize it and relax? Possibly we’ll even have the ability to discount with him for a number of areas and even Kyiv?” – Khodorkovsky asks questions and solutions:

“Could also be. However then we should actually say to the Ukrainians: “We betrayed you. Finish pointless resistance. However then, in two years, a united Russian-Ukrainian military will stand on the borders of Poland.”

The billionaire explains why there will probably be a unification of Russians and a few Ukrainians: “Folks will probably be offended. They want one thing to eat. However within the military they pay. We noticed all this in Donbass.”

“Putin is coming to Xi. Xi mentioned there have been now not no-go zones for cooperation. If democracies don’t need to unite and provides a decisive rebuff, they like dictatorships extra,” Khodorkovsky famous and centered on the truth that “Putin doesn’t want territory. Putin wants a battle for inside functions. And the weak West is a wonderful goal for this.”

On the finish of his speech, the Russian oppositionist remarked:

“If the West needs to cunningly drag all autocracies collectively right into a world battle, then this job is near being realized. Otherwise you may give up. Possibly freedom prices nothing in any respect? You resolve”.

Learn additionally:

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“As a result of Putin is just not a idiot.” Khodorkovsky defined why Russia doesn’t have “its personal Tikhanovskaya”

Nashaniva.com