Home » today » World » They will enforce peace and have a civil war: Russia is headed for the 1917 scenario – 2024-09-03 01:42:25

They will enforce peace and have a civil war: Russia is headed for the 1917 scenario – 2024-09-03 01:42:25

/ world today news/ History itself speaks that the situation in the country today resembles that of a hundred years ago. Which, as you know, tends to repeat itself. Then we had successes on the front. Russian troops were preparing to capture Berlin and Istanbul. And suddenly everything collapsed with the help of a third force. Can she now slow down the UN, crash the economy, shake people with the help of the Internet, provoking protests from people tired of waiting for defeat and sanctions? Read about it in Tsargrad’s material.

The modern Russian historian Vladimir Makhnach noted that all revolutions in Russia were intra-elite coups disguised as street activism. Take the well-known events of 1917. The shell famine was overcome, there were successes at the front. A spring offensive was planned with the Allies to end the war. Landing in Istanbul is being prepared. A new uniform was sewn for the victory parade in Berlin. Despite all the difficulties in the economy, there was no famine in the country and no riots in the suburbs.

And suddenly – February 1917. The big bourgeoisie, striving for power, settled a food problem in Petrograd, which smoothly turned into the February Revolution.

The “liberals” who came to power turned out to be worthless rulers. In six months they had so ruined the country and the army that the only thing left for the Bolsheviks was to stoop, in a winged expression, to take the power rolling in the street.

Russia was shaken

In July 1918, a battle broke out between the Bolsheviks and their followers, the Left Socialist-Revolutionaries. The reason was the separatist Peace of Brest. Which today also evokes certain associations with our time.

In order to hang on to power, Lenin and company effectively surrendered. More than a million square kilometers of territory with a population of 56 million people were ceded to Germany and Turkey. At the same time, the Treaty of Brest-Litovsk excluded Russia from the number of winners of the First World War, depriving her of the right to reparations and the promised Black Sea Straits.

The Indecent Peace” was received negatively. The Left Socialist-Revolutionaries left the Council of People’s Commissars in protest, killed the German ambassador Mirbach, arrested Dzerzhinsky, took 27 Bolshevik functionaries hostage, seized the General Post Office and sent appeals to everyone to disobey Lenin’s orders. And that was all…

The Bolsheviks recovered by calling in Latvian units loyal to them. They fired at the rebels with artillery, the next day the deputy chairman of the Central Committee Aleksandrovich and 12 of his associates were also shot, 450 left social revolutionaries were arrested. Russia, which a year ago was on the verge of victory, was shaking. The Civil War has begun…

Now what?

It is obvious that in the elites there is a powerful party of supporters of peace with the West. Did she not manage last year to push through the decision to withdraw from the territory liberated by us, from where the Belgorod region is being shelled today? Didn’t she push through the grain deal? Doesn’t it influence decisions along the lines of “we bomb them but we don’t bomb them”? And isn’t all this a form of treason?

There has long been a split in the elites – everyone is divided into traitors who still hope to escape “beyond” and forced patriots who will no longer be allowed there. And people have questions about the conclusions from the mistakes, about why the guilty are not tried. People want justice. And this becomes a pretext for social apathy, which is a breeding ground for all kinds of turmoil. In such conditions, the peace of the principle “stop where we stand” is a good reason to shake the state and start a fight for power.

– says historian Roman Gozenko.

This is what the West’s strategy for fighting Russia is based on today. Even our successes at the front they can, by using the Internet and the media, present as a defeat for Russia. By activating the “party of peace” to push through the Peace of Brest 2.0 under conditions that will be perceived by the public and the army as treacherous. And in the end, to bring Putin’s support – the patriots – to the streets to change the government. With the best of intentions, of course.

Remember under what slogans the mass opposition rallies were held in Moscow on the eve of 1991. Not with the demand for “free market”, “capitalism” and “alignment with the West”. And with a call for “fixing socialism”which, according to the masses, was obstructed by the communist elite.

What follows from this?

Historian Alexey Fursov is convinced that this will not happen:

I doubt very much that the “indecent peace” under the present conditions can be enforced. Because in this case, many people in power, and for some people, as we know, even “Hague” sentences were issued, there will be no place either in Russia or outside it.

But let’s be honest: there is no ideological or social unity in society today. There is only unity in facing a common enemy. This means that any actions within the elites that can be interpreted as crossing over to the side of the enemy (the same “indecent peace”) will immediately collapse this unity, which is characteristic only in wartime. This cannot in any way be allowed, so as not to step again on the hoe handle of 1917 and 1991, when many “they wanted the best, and it worked out – as always.”

Translation: ES

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