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FOLK PARTY: The LGBT parade Mardi Grad is celebrated in Sydney in early March. Photo : David Gray / AFP
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– The next pandemic
At a press conference on the corona situation on Tuesday, Health Director Bjørn Guldvog was asked whether it could also be relevant for Norway to choose a zero-infection strategy towards the summer so that we can open faster.
– As we have run the handling, we have chosen a different device for it. We have not considered it realistic with a line change on it now, Guldvog said.
He points out that the rules introduced in the countries that follow this strategy are much stricter tightening than the one we had after March 12 last year. In addition, he believes that many of the countries that have closed down sharply have often seen a flare-up afterwards.
– When we plan for the next pandemic, we will look at the possibility of a zero strategy that has been used in other countries, Guldvog said.
Three strategies
Early in the pandemic, the authorities were in principle faced with three main alternatives in dealing with the pandemic.
One possibility was a brake strategy, where the spread of the pandemic is curbed so that the health service is not overloaded, but where the infection is still allowed to pass through the population. Most countries that have chosen this strategy have had to introduce stricter measures anyway.
Another possibility was a strike-down strategy, which Norway has chosen, where the goal is to put down the pandemic and then keep it down to a low level.
The third option was an elimination strategy, where the goal is to remove the infection through very strict infection control measures.
The Holden Committee believes that the latter has the advantage that domestic infection control measures can largely be phased out if the strategy succeeds. However, it will require very strict measures for a longer period to remove the infection.
– In a country like Norway, with significant international travel and trade activities, a goal of an infection level almost equal to zero will entail significant costs, the committee wrote in a new report .
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OPEN: After the wave of infections in late summer, people could once again go to bars and restaurants in October. Here from Nick & Nora’s bar in Melbourne Photo : William West / AFP
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Requires very low level of infection
In a new report prepared by the Norwegian Directorate of Health and FHI, they believe that the election in Norway in the future is an attempt at elimination and a continuation of the current strategy which aims to keep the epidemic under control at a fairly low level, which does not overload the health service.
Assistant Director of Health Espen Rostrup Nakstad also believes that it is not relevant to go for an elimination strategy now.
– Eliminating the virus completely from a country will, however, require a very low level of infection in the first place with subsequent permanent closure of all borders. At the same time, one must probably have very strict quarantine measures for the few people who are exceptionally allowed into the country, as is practiced in New Zealand, among other places, he says.
Nakstad says that it has proved possible to keep infection rates close to zero in countries in South-East Asia that manage without foreign labor and where the inhabitants have little family or work in various countries that require travel activity.
– This is not the case in Norway. Nevertheless, the mandatory testing, registration and quarantine upon entry contribute to very few cases of infection now being traced out of the country, says Nakstad.
Other countries that have practiced the elimination strategy are China , Taiwan, Vietnam, Cambodia, Laos, Mongolia and Singapore. The countries are different when it comes to geography, population, resources and government.
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